Why I think this could be the #1 ASX property stock for retirement

I believe this stock is offering everything that retirees could want.

| More on:
An older couple dance in their living room as they enjoy their retirement funded by ASX dividends

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

In my view, the ASX property stock Centuria Industrial REIT (ASX: CIP) is a top retirement investment option as an alternative to owning physical real estate.

While owning property is a popular option for retirement investments, the ASX share market can be a useful place to find opportunities. We don't need to invest in commercial property privately to gain access. And residential property doesn't always offer much of a yield, but real estate investment trusts (REITs) can be compelling.

Centuria Industrial REIT is a large business that owns a portfolio of high-quality industrial properties across Australia's key metropolitan locations. It offers strong diversification rather than being focused on one building.

If I were a retiree looking at property stocks, I'd want to see a good (and growing) yield, rising rental income and statistics that suggest there would be stability during a bear market.

Here's why I think this ASX property stock ticks each of those boxes.

Good and growing yield

In my opinion, the Centuria Industrial REIT distribution yield is more attractive than what bank term deposits offer.

When the business announced its FY24 result, it gave guidance for the 2025 financial year.

It's guiding that it will pay a distribution of 16.3 cents per unit, which currently translates into a future distribution yield of around 5%. I think that's a good yield for retirement.

The FY25 guided payout represents a forecast annual increase of around 2%. Considering the significant headwinds of higher interest rates, I think delivering distribution growth in the current environment is a sign of the quality of the underlying business and the strength of its rental potential.

Rising rental income

There is reportedly strong demand for well-located industrial properties thanks to the tailwinds of growing e-commerce, the onshoring of supply chains after COVID-19 impacts, and a rising population.

Considering there is only so much space in our major cities — which are also crying out for more housing — there is limited industrial space on offer for prospective tenants. This is driving up the market rent for these types of properties.

In FY24, the ASX property stock experienced positive re-leasing spreads of 43% across 39 transactions. That means those new rental contracts are seeing the relevant properties generate 43% stronger rental income than on the old contract. That's a big increase in my book and bodes well for the next few years as more rental contracts come up for renewal.

I think this growing rental income can help fund larger distributions in the coming years.

Stability

Centuria Industrial REIT has a number of positive portfolio metrics that are worthy of highlighting, showing why it could be far more stable than a typical unlisted commercial property.

First, it had an occupancy rate of 97% in FY24, so its properties are highly utilised.

Secondly, approximately 93% of its income comes from blue-chip tenants, which are listed, multinational or national tenant customers such as Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS), Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) and Arnott's.

Third, its tenants are signed on for long-term leases, so the rental income is very visible and secure. For FY24, the weighted average lease expiry (WALE) was 7.6 years.

I think this ASX property stock can deliver good returns in the coming years, particularly once Australian interest rates start reducing.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on REITs

A group of business executives shake hands in a lounge.
REITs

National Storage shares up as board recommends takeover bid

The board of National Storage REIT is backing a $4 billion takeover offer for the company.

Read more »

Businesswoman holds hand out to shake.
REITs

Takeover bid in the wings for this major self storage outfit

Shares in National Storage have been placed in a trading halt ahead of an announcement about a possible takeover bid…

Read more »

woman using laptop in campervan
REITs

Bell Potter just upgraded its view on this booming REIT

This REIT is expected to continue its rise.

Read more »

A businessman compares the growth trajectory of property versus shares.
REITs

What is Bell Potter's view on REITs?

Have you considered REITs for your portfolio?

Read more »

Five young people sit in a row having fun and interacting with their mobile phones.
REITs

Macquarie names 5 ASX REITs that could return up to 76%

The broker expects big things from these REITs.

Read more »

REIT written with images circling it and a man touching it.
REITs

Macquarie predicts 18% upside for this ASX 200 REIT

This ASX REIT could have more room to grow.

Read more »

Hand holding Australian dollar (AUD) bills, symbolising ex dividend day. Passive income.
Share Market News

Growthpoint offers a 7% yield and the market's barely noticing

Investors are ignoring the this ASX REIT's income play.

Read more »

Two brokers analysing stocks.
REITs

Goodman shares drop following Q1 update

Let's see how this blue chip has started the new financial year.

Read more »