5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended the week with a small decline. The benchmark index fell 0.1% to 7,498.3 …

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On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended the week with a small decline. The benchmark index fell 0.1% to 7,498.3 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to rise

The Australian share market looks set for a better session on Monday following a mixed session on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 5 points higher this morning. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones was down 0.3%, but the S&P 500 rose 0.1% and the Nasdaq edged ever so slightly higher.

Oil prices climb

It could be a positive start to the week for ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices pushed higher on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 0.9% to US$72.68 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 1.15% to US$78.29 a barrel. Traders were buying oil after tensions in the Middle East escalated.

IAG rated neutral

Insurance Australia Group Ltd (ASX: IAG) shares are close to being fully valued according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. The broker has retained its neutral rating and $6.00 price target on the insurance giant's shares. It said: "We are Neutral on IAG on a relative basis. IAG is more expensive than SUN and there is less upside to our TP."

Gold price jumps

ASX 200 gold shares such as Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a great session on Monday after the gold price jumped on Friday. According to CNBC, the spot gold price was up 1.6% to US$2,051.6 an ounce. This was driven by Middle East tensions and US Federal Reserve rate cut bets.

Buy Graincorp shares

Graincorp Ltd (ASX: GNC) shares could have plenty of upside potential according to analysts at Bell Potter. According to the note, the broker has retained its buy rating with a slightly trimmed price target of $9.50. This implies almost 30% upside for the grain exporter's shares. Bell Potter said: "Valuation remains undemanding, with GNC trading at 5.2-5.9x through the cycle PBTDA and FY24e conditions appearing consistent with through the cycle assumptions."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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