Why has the Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS) dividend collapsed in 2023?

Are the glory days of this ETF behind it?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (VAS) is a popular source of dividend income for many ASX investors
  • In 2022, VAS units offered up a dividend yield of over 7%, thanks to record payouts from ASX's big miners
  • But in 2023, VAS investors have seen a big cut in their dividend paycheques compared to last year

When it comes to ASX exchange-traded funds (ETFs), few could rival the popular Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS) when it comes to 2022 dividend income.

The ASX is home to dozens, if not hundreds, of dividend-paying shares. Those include everything from the income-heavy big banks to BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS), Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) and Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (ASX: HVN).

The Vanguard Australian Shares ETF holds all of these companies and hundreds more.

And, like most ASX index funds, the VAS ETF pays out quarterly dividend distributions. And since this fund tracks the 300 largest companies that are listed on the ASX, these dividend distributions represent what could be considered a broad average of the income potential of the entire ASX share market.

A young woman looks at something on her laptop, wondering what will come next.

Image source: Getty Images

What are the Vanguard Australian Shares ETF's dividends like?

Over 2022, investors received four distributions from their VAS units:

  • The March quarter's 199.59 cents per share distribution
  • The June quarter's 215.95 cents per share distribution
  • The September quarter's 145.06 cents per share distribution
  • The December quarter's 74.97 cents per share distribution

Together, these four dividend distributions add up to an approximate total of $6.36 in income per VAS unit. That would give this ETF a trailing yield of 7.06% on today's pricing.

However, this is not the case. The Vanguard Australian Shares ETF has already paid out one dividend distribution in 2023. That would be the payment investors bagged in April, covering the three months to 31 March 2023.

This payment came in at 57.7 cents per unit. Now, that is a rather massive fall over 2022's corresponding payment of 199.59 cents per unit. It drags VAS' trailing annual distributions down from $6.36 to $4.94.

Thus, right now we have a trailing yield of 5.48% for the Vanguard Australian Shares ETF, instead of 7.06%.

So why has the VAS dividend yield collapsed in 2023?

Why has the latest VAS dividend been a disappointment?

Well, as we discussed earlier, the dividends that the Vanguard Australian Shares ETF is able to pay out to its investors are directly dependent on the dividends the fund itself receives.

The largest share in the S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO) right now is BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) with more than a 10% weighting in the index.

In 2022, BHP doled out a record interim dividend of $2.08 per share, thanks to booming commodity prices. But its interim dividend for 2023 came in at just $1.36 per share. We've seen a similar pattern with the dividends from Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) and Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG).

Given BHP's dominance of the ASX 300 Index (and as such, VAS's own portfolio), as well as the significant presence of Rio and Fortescue, this is probably what is to blame for this drop in dividend income from the Vanguard Australian Shares ETF.

This first quarter of the year is crowded with resources shares in terms of dividend payments. Many other ASX dividend heavyweights, such as Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB), typically pay out their dividends in May and November. So although the dividends from these shares have increased lately, these haven't shown up in VAS's latest dividend distribution.

Thus, it is possible that we won't see such a dramatic drop in the dividend distributions that the Vanguard Australian Shares ETF will fork out over the rest of the year as we have over the March quarter. So VAS investors – don't panic just yet. But you can probably blame BHP, Rio and Fortescue for April's less-than-impressive quarterly payment.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in National Australia Bank, Telstra Group, and Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Harvey Norman. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Harvey Norman and Telstra Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ETFs

Ecstatic man giving a fist pump in an office hallway.
ETFs

3 world-class ASX ETFs to help build a winning portfolio

Want to build a winning portfolio? These ASX ETFs could be worth a closer look.

Read more »

Child wearing a space helmet and sitting with thumbs up next to two toy rockets on a desk with a computer, keyboard and mouse.
ETFs

This blazing ASX ETF has returned 18% per annum for a decade

18% per annum is wealth-building stuff.

Read more »

A group of six work colleagues gather around a computer in an office situation and discuss something on the screen as one man points and others look on with interest
ETFs

Invest in the future with these exciting ASX ETFs

Artificial intelligence and electric vehicles are covered by these funds.

Read more »

ETF written in white and in shopping baskets.
ETFs

2 ASX ETFs to buy: expert

Andrew Wielandt of DP Wealth Advisory offers his recommendations on ASX ETFs.

Read more »

A female miner wearing a high vis vest and hard hard smiles and holds a clipboard while inspecting a mine site with a colleague.
ETFs

4 ASX ETFs to buy for the mining supercycle

Wanting exposure to the mining boom? Here's how you could do it according to Bell Potter.

Read more »

A little girl stands on a chair and reaches really, really high with her hand, in front of a yellow background.
ETFs

3 high-quality ASX ETFs at 52-week highs I'd still buy

I would focus less on the recent high and more on whether the assets inside the ETF can keep becoming…

Read more »

A young man talks tech on his phone while looking at a laptop with a financial graph superimposed across the image.
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that could help build long-term wealth

These funds could deliver good returns over the long term. Here's why.

Read more »

Young woman using computer laptop smiling in love showing heart symbol and shape with hands. as she switches from a big telco to Aussie Broadband which is capturing more market share
ETFs

3 quality ASX ETFs to buy and hold until 2036

These funds could be well-placed to generate strong returns in the future.

Read more »