Why Qantas shares are Morgans' top pick in the travel sector

This airline share could be about to take off according to one leading broker.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Now could be the time to pounce on Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) shares before they take off.

That's the view of analysts at Morgans, which see significant potential upside ahead for the airline operator's shares.

So much so, the broker has the company on its best ideas list and has named it as its preferred pick in the travel sector.

A woman reaches her arms to the sky as a plane flies overhead at sunset.

Image source: Getty Images

What is Morgans saying about Qantas shares?

According to a recent note, the broker has an add rating and $8.35 price target on the flag carrier airline's shares.

Based on the current Qantas share price of $6.30, this implies potential upside of almost 33% for investors over the next 12 months.

Why is the broker bullish?

Morgans is bullish on Qantas due to its belief that the company has significant near-term earnings momentum. It explains:

QAN is now our preferred pick of our travel stocks under coverage given it has the most near-term earnings momentum. Looking across travel companies globally, airlines are now in the sweet spot given demand is massively exceeding supply.

In addition, the broker highlights that Qantas shares are trading at a meaningful discount to pre-COVID levels despite being a much stronger business now. It adds:

QAN is trading at a material discount compared to pre-COVID multiples, despite having structurally higher earnings, a much stronger balance sheet, a better domestic market position, a higher returning International business and more diversification (stronger Loyalty/Freight earnings).

A final reason Morgans is bullish is the company's positive outlook. It concludes:

The strong pent-up demand to travel post-COVID should result in a healthy demand environment for some time, underpinning further EBITDA growth over FY24/25. QAN's balance sheet strength positions it extremely well for its upcoming EBITaccretive fleet reinvestment and further capital management initiatives (recently announced a A$500m on-market share buyback at its 1H23 result). There is also likely upside to our forecasts and consensus if QAN achieves its FY24 strategic targets.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ASX Share Market News

A young woman holds her hand to her ear and leans sideways as if to listen to something that's surprising her as her eyes and her mouth are wide open.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Car Group, Baby Bunting, Hub24 shares

We review three fresh buy, hold, and sell calls from expert market analysts. 

Read more »

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward.
52-Week Lows

IDP shares crash 24% to historic low on Thursday: What happened?

And find out what brokers tip for the global education services company’s shares next.

Read more »

Man working on his tablet with hologram of a world map and financial-related charts.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Premier Investments, Hansen Technologies, Santos shares

Experts reveal their ratings on 3 ASX shares in the retail, energy, and technology segments. 

Read more »

Happy female accountant looking at her tablet.
Broker Notes

7 ASX 200 shares with reaffirmed buy ratings this week

Brokers retained a positive view on Santos, Zip, Coles, and other shares this week. 

Read more »

Broker working with share prices on computers.
Broker Notes

10 ASX 200 shares downgraded by analysts this week

Brokers reduced their ratings on QBE, Temple & Webster, BHP, and other stocks this week. 

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

3 ASX stocks UBS rates as a buy after recent results

The broker is tipping these companies will continue to deliver.

Read more »

A man in a shirt and tie looks to the horizon holding his hand above his eyes as if to shield the sun so he can see better.
ASX Share Market News

Buy, sell, hold: Dexus, APA, Zip shares

These three ASX shares posted their FY26 results this morning. Find out what brokers tip next.

Read more »

An old-fashioned news boy stands on a stool and yells through a microphone in an open field.
ASX Share Market News

Why Megaport, Northern Star and Zip shares are turning heads on Thursday

Northern Star, Megaport, and Zip shares are making waves today. But why?

Read more »