NAB shares dive 8% as EPS downgrades expected

The big four bank is currently the ASX 200's worst performer.

| More on:
A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • NAB shares are tumbling on Thursday, falling 7.6% to trade at $26.38 at the time of writing
  • It comes on the back of the bank's first-half earnings, wherein its NIM rose to 1.77%
  • That was below forecasts, with one top broker predicting a drop in consensus EPS expectations

National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) shares are plummeting on Thursday. In fact, the big four bank's stock is trailing the entire S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) right now.

It follows the release of the bank's first-half earnings, wherein it revealed a record profit. Though, its performance didn't live up to expectations.

The NAB share price is currently down 7.6% at $26.38.

Now, one top broker reportedly expects consensus forecasts on NAB's earnings per share (EPS) to be revised downwards.

NAB shares trail ASX 200 on earnings release

NAB shares are suffering on the release of the bank's earnings for the six months ended 31 March. As my Fool colleague James reported earlier, its results disappointed Goldman Sachs.

Now, UBS has weighed in, saying the bank posted a "weaker than expected" net interest margin (NIM) for the period, as per The Australian.

NAB's NIM climbed to 1.77% last half – helped by a barrage of interest rate hikes put forward by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). However, an increase in home lending competition and higher funding costs offset some of the benefits.

Meanwhile, its statutory net profit rose to around $4 billion and its dividend was upped to 83 cents per share.

The publication quoted UBS analyst John Storey as saying:

The standout for us was NIM only rising 10 basis points versus the previous half year with NAB calling out peaking NIM in Dec22 of 1.79%, with a [second quarter] exit NIM of 1.76%.

This result in our view confirms consensus is likely to revise EPS down further.

But it wasn't all bad news. NAB noted consumption and growth in the Australian economy are starting to soften, with inflation also appearing to moderate – meaning interest rates are likely at or around their peak.

It also stated that it looks more and more likely that Australia could dodge a "pronounced economic correction".  

The NAB share price is now 10% lower than it started the year. It has also fallen 18% since this time last year. Comparatively, the ASX 200 has risen 3% year to date and has fallen 2% over the last 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Three small children reach up to hold a toy rocket high above their heads in a green field with a blue sky above them.
Bank Shares

Up 22% in a year! The red-hot ANZ share price is smashing CBA, Westpac and NAB shares

Why has the ANZ share price risen so much this year?

Read more »

Model house with coins and a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Is the NAB share price a buy for passive income?

Is this big bank a major dividend opportunity for income-focused investors?

Read more »

A woman wearing a flowing red dress, poses dramatically on a beach with the sea in the background.
Bank Shares

Own Westpac shares? Here are the dividend dates for 2026

Westpac shares paid 153 cents per share in dividends in 2025 and are tipped to pay 155 cents in 2026.

Read more »

Man putting in a coin in a coin jar with piles of coins next to it.
Bank Shares

This bank's shares could deliver double-digit returns analysts say

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank's major deal announced this week makes strategic sense, the team at Jarden says.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Bank Shares

Own CBA shares? Here are the dividend dates for 2026

The banking giant has released its corporate calendar for the 2026 financial year.

Read more »

ASX bank share price represented by white Piggy Banks on green background
Bank Shares

ASX bank stocks: Buy, sell, or hold?

Here's what to expect over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Down 8% and 11% in November – Is this the start of a long slide for NAB and CBA shares?

These banks had an awful month.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Bank Shares

Buying NAB shares? Here's how the bank aims to cement its market leading business

NAB shares could gain long-term support from the bank’s latest strategic shift.

Read more »