NAB shares dive 8% as EPS downgrades expected

The big four bank is currently the ASX 200's worst performer.

| More on:
A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • NAB shares are tumbling on Thursday, falling 7.6% to trade at $26.38 at the time of writing
  • It comes on the back of the bank's first-half earnings, wherein its NIM rose to 1.77%
  • That was below forecasts, with one top broker predicting a drop in consensus EPS expectations

National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) shares are plummeting on Thursday. In fact, the big four bank's stock is trailing the entire S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) right now.

It follows the release of the bank's first-half earnings, wherein it revealed a record profit. Though, its performance didn't live up to expectations.

The NAB share price is currently down 7.6% at $26.38.

Now, one top broker reportedly expects consensus forecasts on NAB's earnings per share (EPS) to be revised downwards.

NAB shares trail ASX 200 on earnings release

NAB shares are suffering on the release of the bank's earnings for the six months ended 31 March. As my Fool colleague James reported earlier, its results disappointed Goldman Sachs.

Now, UBS has weighed in, saying the bank posted a "weaker than expected" net interest margin (NIM) for the period, as per The Australian.

NAB's NIM climbed to 1.77% last half – helped by a barrage of interest rate hikes put forward by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). However, an increase in home lending competition and higher funding costs offset some of the benefits.

Meanwhile, its statutory net profit rose to around $4 billion and its dividend was upped to 83 cents per share.

The publication quoted UBS analyst John Storey as saying:

The standout for us was NIM only rising 10 basis points versus the previous half year with NAB calling out peaking NIM in Dec22 of 1.79%, with a [second quarter] exit NIM of 1.76%.

This result in our view confirms consensus is likely to revise EPS down further.

But it wasn't all bad news. NAB noted consumption and growth in the Australian economy are starting to soften, with inflation also appearing to moderate – meaning interest rates are likely at or around their peak.

It also stated that it looks more and more likely that Australia could dodge a "pronounced economic correction".  

The NAB share price is now 10% lower than it started the year. It has also fallen 18% since this time last year. Comparatively, the ASX 200 has risen 3% year to date and has fallen 2% over the last 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

What to expect from the Commonwealth Bank half-year result

Could Australia's largest bank disappoint in February?

Read more »

A woman with red lipstick and tattoos pulls a face as though the situation is not looking good.
Bank Shares

ASX bank shares: One I'd buy and one I'd avoid

Here's my view.

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

The NAB share price is a buy after the RBA rate hike – UBS

UBS is optimistic about the potential of this business.

Read more »

A man sits cross-legged in a zen pose on top of his desk as papers fly around his head, keeping calm amid the volatility.
Bank Shares

Don't buy CBA shares until this happens

This bank has a big announcement scheduled for next week...

Read more »

View from below of a banker jumping for joy in the CBD surrounded by high-rise office buildings.
Bank Shares

3 reasons to buy NAB shares in 2026

The banking giant is still a good buy in my eyes.

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

What should you do with your CBA shares in 2026?

The business is still excellent, but the valuation leaves much less room for upside.

Read more »

Four businessmen in suits pose together in a martial arts style pose as if ready to engage in competition or spring into a fight.
Bank Shares

What happened with the big four ASX 200 bank stocks like ANZ and CBA shares in January?

Buying ANZ, NAB, Westpac or CBA shares? Here’s what happened in the month just past.

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Bank Shares

Where will CBA shares be in 5 years?

CBA's next five years could be quite different to its last five...

Read more »