5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

Here's what to expect on the ASX 200 on Thursday.

Smiling man with phone in wheelchair watching stocks and trends on computer

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Wednesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) fought hard but fell just short of positive territory. The benchmark index edged 0.1% lower to 7,316.3 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market is expected to have a poor session on Thursday after a mixed night on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 0.7% lower this morning. In the United States, the Dow Jones fell 0.7% and the S&P 500 fell 0.4%, but the NASDAQ rose 0.4%.

Pilbara Minerals update

Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) shares will be on watch today when the lithium giant releases its third-quarter update. The consensus estimate is for spodumene production of 148kt for the three months. This will be down from 162kt during the second quarter. In addition, the market is expecting an average realised spodumene price of US$5,209 per tonne.

Oil prices sink

ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could come under pressure after oil prices fell on Wednesday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 3.6% to US$74.32 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 3.8% to US$77.62 a barrel. US recession concerns weighed on prices.

CBA shares rated as a hold

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price may be fully valued at current levels. That's the view of analysts at Morgans, which have reiterated their hold rating with an improved price target of $97.87. This is broadly in-line with where Australia largest bank's shares are currently trading.

Gold price edges lower

ASX 200 gold shares Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Regis Resources Limited (ASX: RRL) could have a subdued session after the gold price edged lower overnight. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is down 0.35% to US$1,997.6 an ounce.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city, sitting back and relaxed, confident in his ASX share investments for the long term.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: AGL, Coles, and PLS shares

Are analysts bullish or bearish on these shares?

Read more »

Bored man sitting at his desk with his laptop.
Share Fallers

Why Ansell, Elsight, Ramelius, and SGH shares are falling today

These shares are missing out on the market's move higher on Thursday.

Read more »

A woman holds a tape measure against a wall painted with the word BIG, indicating a surge in gowth shares
Best Shares

10 best ASX 200 large-cap shares of 2025

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 large-cap shares for capital growth in 2025.

Read more »

Man ecstatic after reading good news.
Share Gainers

Why Canyon Resources, Core Lithium, Duratec, and Unico Silver shares are storming higher

These shares are outperforming on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »

Percentage sign with a rising zig zaggy arrow representing rising interest rates.
Share Market News

With inflation edging lower, here's the latest 2026 interest rate forecast from CBA

Buying ASX shares and pining for interest rate relief? Here’s CBA’s latest 2026 forecast.

Read more »

A group of young people celebrate and party outside.
Best Shares

Where to invest $7,000 in Janaury

I think these investments will thrive in 2026 and beyond...

Read more »

A man stands with his arms crossed in an X shape.
Mergers & Acquisitions

BlueScope shares fall after rejecting 'significantly undervalued' takeover offer

The steel products company has given a firm no.

Read more »

CEO of a company talking to her team.
Share Market News

Ansell announces CEO transition: Nathalie Ahlström to succeed Neil Salmon in 2026

Current CEO Neil Salmon will retire in February 2026.

Read more »