'Increasing demand': Expert picks 2 ASX 200 mining shares to buy (not BHP)

The resources sector carried the Australian market last year, and some stocks will surge again this year.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Mining stocks absolutely carried the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) last year.

And even though western economies are struggling, China's post-COVID resurgence has many experts betting that there will be renewed thirst for raw materials.

Fairmont Equities managing director Michael Gable this week picked out two ASX shares in the resources sector that would make handsome buys at the moment:

Two smiling men in high visibility vests and yellow hardhats stand side by side with a large mound of earth and mining equipment behind them smiling as the Carnaby Resources share price rises today

Image source: Getty Images

Now is the buying opportunity for metals producer

The South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) share price has fallen almost 15% since 3 March.

"In our view, this can be considered a buying opportunity for this diversified mining company trading at a discount," Gable told The Bull.

He's not the only one thinking along those lines. According to CMC Markets, ten out of 19 analysts are currently rating South32 as a strong buy.

The analysts at Citi were certainly pleased with what they saw over reporting season.

"1H FY23 profit of US$560 million was better than expected," reported The Motley Fool's James Mickleboro.

"Importantly, FY23 production and cost guidance was maintained. FY24 production guidance points to modestly higher output in FY24."

In rating South32 as a buy, the Citi team predicted that it has plenty of upside to come.

"We believe S32 has not yet run to full valuation levels trading on FY24E EV/EBITDA of 4x vs peers at >5x."

Gable points to the upside in commodity prices forecast for the rest of this year.

"Low inventories in base metals should lead to a spike in prices," he said.

"We expect increasing demand for base metals in later 2023."

Gold will conquer the world

Gold is considered a safe haven asset for troubled times, and that's no different in 2023 for Gable.

"We've been positive on gold stocks for the past few months, and still believe Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) is a buy at current levels."

Newcrest shares have rocketed in sync with gold prices, with the stock gaining more than 62% since late September.

Gable likes the momentum.

"The share price has been trending higher since September 2022 and we expect it to continue moving forward," he said.

"Any fall in the US dollar will be positive for gold prices."

Another catalyst could come in the form of an acquisition.

"Potential exists for a new takeover bid after Newcrest rejected an offer from Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) in February."

The team at Firetrail is also a fan, last month nominating Newcrest shares as a stock to hold for the next decade.

They believe that the US dollar will lose its status as the world's reserve currency, thus pushing gold into prominence.

"Gold was the world's reserve currency for 5,000 years. It was only usurped by the US dollar 40 years ago following the breakdown of the gold standard," Firetrail analysts said in a memo to clients.

"A greater role in world finance will put upward pressure on the gold price to the benefit [of] low cost, long life gold miners such as Newcrest Mining."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Resources Shares

2 ASX 200 mining shares this fund manager is backing for long-term growth

Blackwattle is invested in the ASX 200's largest diversified miner and its biggest lithium producer.

Read more »

Two mining workers on a laptop at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Buying ASX 200 mining shares? Here's how Rio Tinto, Fortescue and BHP stacked up in March

Buying Rio Tinto, Fortescue, or BHP shares? Here’s how the ASX mining stocks performed in March’s sinking market.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Why are shares in this ASX copper developer surging more than 45%?

A deal for a major funding package has been struck.

Read more »

Woman with gold nuggets on her hand.
Resources Shares

Northern Star Resources posts Q3 gold sales, on track for FY26

Northern Star Resources sold 381,000 ounces of gold in Q3 FY26, keeping its production guidance in sight.

Read more »

A group of people in suits and hard hats celebrate the rising share price with champagne.
Resources Shares

$7,500 invested in Rio Tinto shares 10 days ago is now worth…

The miner's shares crashed 15% in the first three weeks of March.

Read more »

An executive stands looking out a glass window over the city.
Resources Shares

Why this ASX 200 stock just jumped 5% on Wednesday

Perenti shares are up 5% after naming a new Chief Executive.

Read more »

Smiling miner.
Resources Shares

3 reasons why the Rio Tinto share price could be a buy

Let’s unearth why Rio Tinto could be an opportunity worth digging into.

Read more »

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Resources Shares

Up more than 90% over the past year, analysts say this ASX copper stock can keep going

Canaccord Genuity says this is a copper stock to watch.

Read more »