5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

It could be a tough day for the ASX 200 on Monday…

Broker looking at the share price on her laptop with green and red points in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week in the red. The benchmark index fell 0.8% to 7,148.7 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market looks set to continue its slide on Monday following a poor finish to the week on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 27 points or 0.4% lower this morning. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones was down 0.85%, the S&P 500 fell 1.1%, and the NASDAQ dropped 1%.

Oil prices tumble

ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a poor start to the week after oil prices dropped on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was down 2.1% to US$74.50 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price fell 2.6% to US$79.04 a barrel. Recession concerns weighed on oil prices.

Chalice named as a buy

The Chalice Mining Ltd (ASX: CHN) share price could rise materially from current levels according to the team at Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has retained its speculative buy rating with an $11.10 price target on its shares. Although Chalice has delayed its scoping study at the Gonneville deposit, the broker was pleased to see "opportunities to potentially improve recoveries of palladium, platinum, and gold." Bell Potter sees scope for this to increase its gross-revenue-per-tonne well ahead of its current estimates.

Brambles rated as a sell

The Brambles Limited (ASX: BXB) share price could be overvalued according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. This morning, the broker has reiterated its sell rating with a $10.75 price target. The broker said: "We see poor medium term cash generation with elevated pooling capex (currently) and incremental transformation capex going forward. Separately, the risk of the company losing its legacy Costco business remains in place should Costco proceed with its plastics transition with an alternative pooler and/or a different business model."

Gold price rises

Gold shares Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a good start to the week after the gold price pushed higher on Friday. According to CNBC, the spot gold price was up 0.85% to US$1,803 an ounce during the session. This couldn't stop the precious metal from having its worst week in a month after the US Federal Reserve hardened its inflation stance.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Multi-ethnic people looking at camera sitting at public place screaming, shouting and feeling overjoyed about their windfall, good news or sports victory.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a slightly sour end to the trading week this Friday.

Read more »

A businessman lights up the fifth star in a lineup, indicating positive share price for a top performer
Share Market News

Named: The best ASX shares to buy in January

Bell Potter thinks that double-digit returns could be on offer with these shares.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.
Broker Notes

3 ASX All Ords shares tipped to rise 30% to 80% in 2026

Looking for New Year's investment inspiration?

Read more »

a business man in a suit holds his hand over his eyes as he bows his head in a defeated post suggesting regret and remorse.
Share Fallers

Why Core Lithium, Paladin Energy, Pro Medicus, and Rio Tinto shares are dropping today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Rocket takes off from the hand of a businessman.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 200 stocks rocketing higher in the first full trading week of 2026

Investors have been piling into these three ASX 200 stocks in 2026. But why?

Read more »

A young woman holding her phone smiles broadly and looks excited, after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Why Codan, DroneShield, Mesoblast, and Woodside shares are storming higher today

These shares are ending the week strongly. But why?

Read more »

A mature-aged woman wearing goggles and a red cape, rides her bike along the beach looking victorious.
Best Shares

These were my 2 best stocks of 2025

Both of these stocks bagged me triple-digit returns last year.

Read more »