Down 30% so far in 2022, leading fund manager Firetrail sees a bright future for this under-the-radar ASX small-cap share

This small cap ASX stock is expected to benefit from rising interest rates

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

A sunset scene though the fingers of two hands, indicating the bigger picture

Image source: Getty Images

Writing in its October monthly update, the Firetrail Australian Small Companies Fund names the NobleOak Life Ltd (ASX: NOL) share price as one of the negative contributors for the month.

Although the fund has struggled over the past 12 months, since inception in February 2020, it has returned 11.5% per annum, soundly outperforming its benchmark.

October saw the Firetrail Australian Small Companies Fund gain 4.7% after fees, underperforming the Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index by 1.7%. 

Positive contributors included the Life360 Inc (ASX: 360) share price soaring 40% in October after the family communications application announced increased prices for new and existing US subscribers. The fund notes Life360 has 27 million monthly active users in the US, approximately 8% of the total US population.

Turning to detractors, the NobleOak Life share price fell 12% in October on very thin trading volumes. Since the end of the month, this ASX small-cap share has continued to struggle, now trading at close to a 52-week low. 

The fund notes the life insurance sector has performed poorly in 2022 despite its defensive earnings and industry tailwinds from policy repricing and rising interest rates. 

Not deterred, Firetrail estimates NobleOak will see an approximate 7-10% profit tailwind from rising interest rates in FY23. 

Whatever the reason – the war in Ukraine, the pandemic or recession fears – the fund is encouraged by consumer willingness to buy life insurance increasing by "an amazing" 35% in the past two years. 

When reporting FY22 results in late August, NobleOak said it delivered another year of strong growth in in-force premiums and underlying profits, exceeding its key prospectus forecasts. 

For FY23, the ASX small-cap share says "in-force premiums are expected to grow ahead of market with a disciplined approach to drive continued profit growth".

NobleOak was a July 2021 IPO, with shares issued at $1.95 per share. Its share price hit a high of $2.45 in March 2022 before retreating back to $1.57 today.  

Motley Fool contributor Bruce Jackson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Life360, Inc. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

colleagues on a lunch break looking at iPhone
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Logistic workers sitting amid pallets and stock in a warehouse.
Broker Notes

Brambles shares: Buy, hold or sell?

A leading analyst provides his forecast for Brambles' rebounding share price.

Read more »

A couple in a supermarket laugh as they discuss which fruits and vegetables to buy
52-Week Highs

This ASX 200 giant just hit a 52-week high. Is it getting too expensive?

This defensive ASX 200 stock is flying this year.

Read more »

An older woman tries to listen by cupping her ear.
Broker Notes

Down 62%, should I buy Cochlear shares now?

Two leading analysts offer their outlooks for Cochlear’s beaten-down share price.

Read more »

Excited couple celebrating success while looking at smartphone.
Share Gainers

Why Benz Mining, Collins Foods, WiseTech, and Xero shares are shooting higher today

These shares are having a good time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward.
Share Fallers

Why Aurelia Metals, Beach Energy, IAG, and Rio Tinto shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. What's going on?

Read more »

Man looking at his grocery receipt, symbolising inflation.
Share Market News

Why is the ASX 200 jumping on the latest inflation data?

ASX investors appear pleased with the latest ABS inflation print. But why?

Read more »

Two company members shaking hands on a deal.
Mergers & Acquisitions

A $75 million deal has this ASX 200 stock smashing a record high today

This ASX 200 stock is having a huge year.

Read more »