What could a tighter household budget mean for NIB shares?

At least one broker is optimistic on the health insurer's outlook.

| More on:
A woman sits in her home with chin resting on her hand and looking at her laptop computer with some reflection with an assortment of books and documents on her table.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • NIB shares closed more than 2% higher on Tuesday
  • UBS is predicting upside for the healthcare insurer's share price 
  • NIB will report its full-year results on 22 August 

NIB Holdings Limited (ASX: NHF) shares have fallen slightly over the past month, but what are their future prospects?

The NIB share price has slipped 0.41% in the last month, closing at $7.33 on Tuesday. That was 2.37% higher on the day.

So let's check what could be ahead for shares in the healthcare insurer.

What's ahead for private insurance

UBS has recently highlighted how more Australians see the benefit of private health insurance despite the "ongoing increase in out-of-pocket expenses".

However, UBS analyst Scott Russell is predicting customers will pay more attention to monthly premiums "under tighter household budgets". In a note cited by The Australian, analyst Scott Russell said:

Switching is inevitable and we note the typical profile is younger, less than 35, and in lower/middle income bands; many of these are customers of nib and ahm – lower value for money – and appear to be eyeing Medibank, Bupa and HBF brands.

But despite the risk of Australians changing health insurers, Russell still sees upside in the NIB share price. He has lifted the company's price target from $7.10 to $7.70. That's 8% more than the current share price.

Russell predicts NIB's earnings per share (EPS) could jump by 11 to 22% in FY23, claiming the company "enjoys similar tailwinds" to Medibank Private Ltd (ASX: MPL), The Australian reported.

The analyst has also upgraded Medibank Private to a buy rating with a $3.90 price target. That's 11% more than the company's current share price of $3.50.

NIB will report its full-year results on 22 August.

Share price snapshot

NIB shares have climbed 2% in the past year and are up nearly 5% year to date.

For perspective, the  S&P/ASX 200 Financials Index (ASX: XFJ) has lost 2.6% so far in 2022.

NIB has a market capitalisation of about $3.4 billion based on the current share price.

Motley Fool contributor Monica O'Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended NIB Holdings Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Financial Shares

Two people lazing in deck chairs on a beautiful sandy beach throw their hands up in the air.
Dividend Investing

Suncorp shares tread water as investors digest 2026 dividend timeline

Here’s what income investors need to know.

Read more »

A woman wearing a lifebuoy ring reaches up for help as an arm comes down to rescue her.
Investing Strategies

Investing in a higher-for-longer world and the ASX sector built to cope

Boring, resilient, and quietly powerful.

Read more »

Businesswoman holds hand out to shake.
Financial Shares

Fintech Humm Group is fielding a takeover offer at a 16% premium

Humm Group shares have jumped on the news.

Read more »

A couple calculate their budget and finances at home using laptop and calculator.
Financial Shares

Here's the earnings forecast out to 2030 for Macquarie shares

Macquarie could become one of the most profitable businesses on the ASX.

Read more »

Green stock market graph with a rising arrow symbolising a rising share price.
Broker Notes

Up 813% in 5 years, why Macquarie expects this surging ASX 200 stock to keep outperforming in 2026

Macquarie forecasts more outperformance from this surging ASX 200 stock. Let’s see why.

Read more »

A young man talks tech on his phone while looking at a laptop. A financial graph is superimposed across the image.
Financial Shares

MFF Capital just announced a major leadership change. Here's what it means for investors

MFF Capital has unveiled a major leadership change, and investors are watching closely to see what it means for the…

Read more »

ASX board.
Financial Shares

ASX Ltd shares drop 6% on $150m capital charge

The stock is now down 18% year to date, reflecting governance concerns and mounting transformation costs.

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Financial Shares

An 8.7% special dividend sounds great, but there's a catch!

This company reckons it can both pay out a special dividend and conserve cash using a "unique" strategy.

Read more »