Is it too late to buy ASX lithium shares?

An expert gives his thoughts on the future of demand for the battery ingredient, and names one ASX lithium share he's buying at the moment.

| More on:
a woman smiles as she checks her phone in one hand with a takeaway coffee in the other as she charges her electric vehicle at a charging station.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Some investors have done pretty well out of ASX lithium shares in recent years as the element saw rising demand from battery and electric car makers.

However, those stocks have fallen somewhat in recent weeks as lithium prices have topped out.

So the big question from those who haven't yet jumped on the bandwagon is: Is it too late? Is the current dip a buying opportunity, or has the peak passed?

Shaw and Partners portfolio manager James Gerrish gave his thoughts recently on whether it's still a good idea to buy into these companies.

Lithium can't be substituted easily 

Regardless of the short-term dip, lithium demand is here to stay, according to Gerrish.

"Lithium ties into the electrification thematic that is taking over the globe," he said in a Market Matters Q&A.

"The reason for the hype is [that] lithium has unique characteristics that are difficult to replicate. It is a light metal but is able to store large amounts of energy and is an excellent conductor of electricity."

Gerrish added that while other battery minerals can be substituted with other ingredients, lithium demand is "relatively immune to these risks".

"Demand for lithium has grown at [approximately] 20% compound annual growth rates through 2017 to 2022 and we think that will continue, while lithium deposits that are technically and economically viable to exploit are rare," he said.

"This all paints a positive backdrop for the sector, and particularly the higher quality hard rock producers in Australia — the question comes down to timing."

Which is the ASX share to buy to jump on the lithium bandwagon?

So if you were to become a new ASX lithium share investor right now, which is the stock Gerrish would buy?

"We recently bought IGO Ltd (ASX: IGO), which is highly correlated to fellow battery metal stocks on the ASX," he said.

"We like IGO given it also has a very solid nickel business that has been [expanded] through the sensible purchase of Western Areas (WSA)."

The IGO share price is down around 20% since its last peak on 4 April.

Gerrish's team still likes the other two major producers, Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) and Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE), but they're "a crowded play" as with many other green-themed stocks at the moment.

"For that reason we have left room to average our IGO position into weakness," he said.

"We are also contemplating adding Pilbara or buying Allkem in the Emerging Companies Portfolio using the same philosophy."

For comparison, Pilbara shares have plunged 35% since 4 April, while the Allkem stock price has also headed south 14% over that period.

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Australian notes and coins symbolising dividends.
Materials Shares

BHP is paying $2.30 per share in dividends. Time to buy the stock?

Do analysts think the Big Australian is a buy?

Read more »

Man on a laptop thinking.
Materials Shares

Are Core Lithium shares dirt cheap or overvalued?

This lithium miner's shares have lost 84% of their value over the last 12 months.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

3 key takeaways for ASX lithium share investors from Pilbara Minerals report

What can ASX lithium share investors learn from Pilbara Minerals' latest sales and production results?

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Materials Shares

Here's what brokers are saying about Pilbara Minerals shares

Is this lithium miner a buy following last week's update?

Read more »

A young woman holds her hand to her mouth in surprise as she reads something on her laptop.
Materials Shares

1 ASX All Ords stock that turned $10,000 into $720,000 in less than 5 years

Mouth-watering returns have been delivered by this stock. But why?

Read more »

A woman jumps for joy with a rocket drawn on the wall behind her.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Guess which ASX mining stock is rocketing 109% on big news

This ASX mining stock just doubled in value in less than an hour.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Why is the South32 share price charging higher on Monday?

How did this mining giant perform during the last quarter?

Read more »

A lithium battery with blue power background, indicating positive share price movement for clean ASX lithium miners
Materials Shares

Here's the latest lithium price forecast through to 2027

Supply is forecast to continue outstripping demand for some time to come.

Read more »