Why has the Newcrest share price fallen 14% in a month?

What's happened to the gold miner's shares lately? Let's take a look…

| More on:
A woman holds a gold bar in one hand and puts her other hand to her forehead with an apprehensive and concerned expression on her face after watching the Ramelius share price fall today

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Newcrest shares have fallen 14% from their year-to-date high of $28.96 achieved on 19 April
  • The deterioration of the gold price is one likely cause of the drop
  • Macroenvironmental headwinds are expected to cause a global economic slowdown this year

The Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) share price has tumbled in the past month as investors head for the exits.

On 19 April, the gold miner's shares hit a year-to-date high of $28.96, before crashing more than 14%.

At Monday's market close, Newcrest shares clawed back some ground to finish 0.81% higher at $24.78.

Let's take a look at what's driving the recent slump.

What's triggering the Newcrest share price to sink?

The deceleration in the price of gold has possibly weakened investor sentiment and prompted a sell in the Newcrest shares.

Macroenvironmental factors such as China's COVID-19 crisis, the Russian war in Ukraine, inflation movements, and rate hikes are also causing panic.

The International Monetary Fund said it expects global economic growth to slow significantly for the remainder of the year.

Current projections expect the world's economy to expand by 3.6% in 2022, down from 6.1% last year.

In addition, the price of gold has been on a steady decline over the last 30 days to trade at US$1,822.65 per ounce. This represents a decline of around 10% over the above timeframe.

On 18 April, the precious metal almost touched the psychological US$2,000 barrier, before falling wayside.

The drop in the gold price is likely impacting Newcrest's earnings, which could be driving investors to look elsewhere.

What do the brokers think?

A number of brokers rated the Newcrest share price with different price points following the company's third-quarter results, announced on April 28.

The team at UBS cut its 12-month price target on Newcrest shares by 2.2% to $26.50. Based on the current share price, this implies a potential upside of 6.9% for investors.

On the other hand, Macquarie analysts reduced their rating by 2.9% but had a bullish price of $33.00. Its analysts believe the company's shares still have some room to bounce higher. This implies a potential upside of 33.2% from the current price.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

ETF written in yellow gold.
Gold

3 highly rated ASX gold ETFs to consider buying now

You don't have to own bullion to invest in gold...

Read more »

A woman in a business suit sits at her desk with gold bars in each hand while she kisses one bar with her eyes closed. Her desk has another three gold bars stacked in front of her. symbolising the rising Northern Star share price
Gold

This ASX gold stock is up 30% in a month, and insiders are still buying up big!

Both the CEO and chair of this gold stock are doubling down on its success.

Read more »

rising gold share price represented by a green arrow on piles of gold block
Gold

3 ASX 200 gold shares soaring on quarterly updates

ASX 200 investors are piling into these three gold miners today. But why?

Read more »

Gold bars on top of gold coins.
Gold

Is it too late to buy gold as an investment in 2024?

Can we still take advantage of gold at new record highs?

Read more »

A woman holds a gold bar in one hand and puts her other hand to her forehead with an apprehensive and concerned expression on her face after watching the Ramelius share price fall today
Gold

Why is the Northern Star share price sinking on Tuesday?

This gold miner's shares aren't glittering on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A male ASX investor on the street wearing a grey suit clenches his fist and yells yes after seeing on his ipad that the Paladin share price is going up again today
Gold

These ASX 200 gold stocks can rise 25% to 30%

Golden returns could be on offer with these shares according to Bell Potter.

Read more »

A woman wearing a top of gold coins and large gold hoop earrings and a heavy gold bracelet stands amid a shower of gold coins with her mouth open wide and an excited look on her face.
Gold

Buying ASX gold shares? Here's where this top fundie sees 'multi-bagger' gains on offer

The ASX gold stock bull run could have much further to run yet.

Read more »

A woman holds a gold bar in one hand and puts her other hand to her forehead with an apprehensive and concerned expression on her face after watching the Ramelius share price fall today
Gold

Latest production news fails to lift this lagging ASX 200 gold share

Investors appear less than thrilled with the latest figures from this ASX 200 gold share.

Read more »