Why are brokers so bullish on the Northern Star share price?

Brokers see plenty of upside for the gold miner in 2022.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Analysts are bullish on Northern Star shares, baking in considerable upside for the next 12 months
  • Shares are trading deep in the red this year to date, extending losses brought on last year
  • In the last 12 months, the Northern Star share price has slipped 20% 

The Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) share price is pushing higher today and is now 0.8% in the green at $8.80 apiece.

The gold miner — whose assets include Australia's largest underground gold mine, Cadia Valley in NSW – has struggled so far in 2022.

Meanwhile, the gold price has taken a trip downwards these past few weeks after surging to near five-year highs in March.

Gold now trades at US$1,837 per troy ounce after the recent pullback.

An older female ASX investor holds a gangster-style fist pump pose showing off gold rings with dollar signs on them.

Image source: Getty Images

What are brokers saying?

Analysts at JP Morgan are heavily bullish on the Northern Star share price. In a recent note, the broker mentioned that Northern Star is amongst its favourite picks of the Aussie gold miners.

Despite a challenging quarter, analysts reckon the investment case for Northern Star remains intact and, taking a long-term view, not much has changed fundamentally for the company.

"Operational performance was weaker than we expected across the board, with planned and unplanned outages at the KCGM seeing throughput 12% lower quarter-on-quarter," it noted in a recent note.

"Pogo production and cost guidance has been downgraded relating to higher development and a focus on delivering more mining fronts. Group production guidance has been retained," it added.

Consequently, Northern Star is potentially one for the future, JP Morgan says, and it remains a top choice for its clients.

[Northern Star] remains a favoured pick of our gold coverage with solid valuation support (0.88 times P/NPV), an excellent growth pipeline (7% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to FY26), and paying a decent 3.6% dividend yield in FY23.

We upgrade to overweight with an $11 per share December 2022 price target.

Meanwhile, analysts over at RBC Capital Markets are equally as bullish on the stock, valuing it at $13.25 per share in the process.

Alex Barkley of RBC noted that Northern Star has been making good inroads in its gold exploration and discovery programs.

"The result continues NST's long track record of organic gold discovery, with the two shortest life sites the main beneficiaries in this year's annual update," he wrote.

In late May, the teams of Macquarie and Canaccord Genuity each upgraded their price targets on the gold miner to $14 and $15.15 respectively, joining a long list of bullish analysts on the stock.

According to Bloomberg data, 15 out of the 16 analysts covering Northern Star rate it as a buy right now, with the consensus price target resting at $12.59 among the group.

Northern Star share price snapshot

In the last 12 months, the Northern Star share price has slipped 20% into the red and is down almost 7% this year to date.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares with 39% to 141% growth ahead of them: Experts

If you're looking for capital gains, try these shares on for size.

Read more »

A young man talks tech on his phone while looking at a laptop with a financial graph superimposed across the image.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: How does Morgans rate these ASX shares?

One of these shares could deliver a 50% return according to the broker.

Read more »

Three generation of women cuddling and smiling together.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy the dip on Life360 shares today

A leading analyst believes Life360 shares are well-placed to outperform. But why?

Read more »

An oil refinery worker checks her laptop computer in front of a backdrop of oil refinery infrastructure.
Broker Notes

With oil prices falling, should I still buy Santos shares now?

A leading analyst provides his forecast for Santos' outperforming share price.

Read more »

Two ASX share investors sharing a secret.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Flight Centre, Supply Network, Lottery Corporation shares

Experts reveal their ratings on three ASX shares in the consumer discretionary sector.

Read more »

Six smiling health workers pose for a selfie.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Charter Hall, Northern Star, Cochlear shares

We review three fresh buy, hold, and sell calls from expert market analysts.

Read more »

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Broker Notes

Down 53%, is it time to throw in the towel on CSL shares?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on CSL’s plunging share price.

Read more »

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Up 293%! Can Electro Optic Systems (EOS) shares keep rising?

Bell Potter believes this high-flying stock hasn't peaked yet.

Read more »