Why this $1.4 billion ASX All Ords mining stock is tipped to jump 30%

A top wealth manager forecasts more than 30% returns from this ASX mining stock.

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Already trading near its all-time highs, the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is unlikely to return 30% over the coming year, but this ASX All Ords mining stock is tipped to do just that.

That's according to the team at wealth manager Euroz Hartleys, who recently reiterated their speculative buy rating on BCI Minerals Ltd (ASX: BCI).

In afternoon trade today, BCI Minerals shares are trading for 46 cents apiece. That's up 27.8% since this time last year. And it gives the ASX All Ords mining stock a market cap of around $1.35 billion.

Looking ahead, Euroz Hartleys is bullish on the potential for BCI's Mardie Salt Project, located in Western Australia. The project covers some 115 square kilometres on the Pilbara coast. On completion, which is nearing, it will be the third-largest salt project in the world and the largest in Australia, producing 5.35 million tonnes per annum (Mtpa).

MCI is aiming to complete construction of the Mardie Salt Project inside the next half year. First sales are targeted for the end of the first quarter of calendar year 2027 (Q1 2027).

A group of five engineers wearing hard hats and some in high visibility vests raise their arms in happy celebration atop a building site with construction and equipment in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

Should I buy the ASX All Ords mining stock today?

BCI announced the results of its June quarter update on 20 July.

In a report released on 11 August, Euroz Hartleys noted, "Development is now 85% complete, with $1.19bn spent to date and the remaining $258m construction cost (+ WC) fully funded by $423m of liquidity."

The wealth manager added:

Importantly, BCI has commenced salt crystallisation, with 49kt of crystallised salt on hand at 30 Jun '26, marking a key transition from construction towards operations. BCI expects to be operationally ready for FSOS in Q1 CY27, although first harvest remains weather dependent, with adverse conditions potentially delaying timing by up to 6 months.

Summarising their buy rating on the ASX All Ords mining stock, Euroz Hartleys' analysts said:

At salt-only steady-state 5.35 mtpa full run-rate (from FY30 on our numbers), BCI is forecast to generate ~$250m EBITDA p.a. with a long asset life (60+yrs) given 'unlimited' reserves (seawater), with low sustaining capex providing strong FCF [free cash flow] generation (~$190m p.a.) and the basis for material shareholder returns (assuming 80-100% payout).

Tolling opportunities (i.e. nearby stranded iron ore) from the spare capacity at the 100%-owned 20mtpa Cape Preston West Port offers an additional material revenue stream (>$100m p.a. potential) and SOP (and other waste stream/salt bitterns products) provide very real medium-term upside for staged earnings growth on top of the salt (+$70m EBITDA p.a.).

Euroz Hartleys has a price target of 60 cents per share on the ASX All Ords mining stock.

That represents an upside of more than 30% from the current MCI Minerals share price.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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