Why did the Medibank share price go backwards in March?

Medibank fell downhill last month.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Medibank shares took a hit in March and finished behind 
  • With the wave of natural disasters impacting Australia, the market has responded accordingly 
  • In the last 12 months, the Medibank share price has climbed 21% 

Shares in Medibank Private Ltd (ASX: MPL) finished trading yesterday at $3.06 apiece.

The gain comes amid a period of heavy losses for the company whose share price has collapsed from a high of $3.60 on January 2.

TradingView Chart
Stethoscope with a piggy bank in the middle.

Image source: Getty Images

What's up with the Medibank share price?

Shares have been gliding down these past few weeks with authority. This is despite nothing sensitive from the company.

Noteworthy are the natural flooding disasters spread along the East Coast of Australia that are no doubt causing headaches for Australian insurers and insurees alike.

Fellow insurers Suncorp Group Ltd (ASX: SUN) and Insurance Australia Group Ltd (ASX: IAG) also felt pain from the fallout.

As such, it appears the market has priced in lower growth expectations for Medibank over the coming periods, according to Matt Ingram, analyst at Bloomberg.

"[Medibank's] cyclically adjusted P/E ratio lags behind peers despite being 20% above the past decade's average and could be due to the market's lower growth expectations for Medibank," he wrote in a recent note.

"Its 4.3% dividend yield is comparable to peers, but may not be boosted by more buybacks like Suncorp and Australia's big four banks due to lower surplus capital," he added.

The market prices securities on a balance of earnings performance and in particular, future earnings expectations, Peter Lynch says in One Up on Wall Street.

So if the market feels Medibank's growth is set to wind back, so will its share price on this logic.

In the last 12 months, the Medibank share price has climbed 21% but has erased around 8% of gains since trading resumed this year.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Insurance Australia Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Fallers

A man holds his hand to his chin with a furrowed brow, making an expression of puzzlement or confusion.
Share Fallers

Top 3 ASX 200 shares now below their 200-day moving average

Are these businesses still a buy?

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop in front of him.
Share Fallers

What are the most shorted ASX shares on the market right now?

Two names, two opposite bear cases.

Read more »

An arrow crashes through the ground as a businessman watches on.
Share Fallers

Warning: Corporate Travel shares have crashed 80%. What on earth just happened?

An 80% crash has left investors asking what went so wrong.

Read more »

Stressed businessman sits in panic amid digital stock market financial background.
Share Fallers

The five worst-performing ASX 200 shares in August unmasked

Investors sent these five ASX shares crashing 17% to 23% in August. But why?

Read more »

Stressed businessman sits in panic amid digital stock market financial background.
Share Fallers

Why Megaport, Lendlease and JB Hi-Fi shares all crashed 14% to 15% this week

ASX investors punished Lendlease, Megaport, and JB Hi-Fi this week. But why?

Read more »

Woman checking out new laptops.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Down 14% today: Are JB Hi-Fi shares now a bargain-bin buy?

Could JB's plunge mean a bargain buy?

Read more »

A man sitting at his desktop computer leans forward onto his elbows and yawns while he rubs his eyes as though he is very tired.
Share Fallers

Why did DroneShield shares crash 30% in July to new one-year lows?

DroneShield shares got smashed in July. But why.

Read more »

Man with his head on his head with a red declining arrow and A worried man holds his head and look at his computer as the Megaport share price crashes today
Share Fallers

Down 43%! What on earth happened with Liontown shares in July?

Investors pummelled Liontown shares in July. Time to buy?

Read more »