I'm doubling down on 2 ASX shares that keep going down: fund manager

When business performance is not rewarded by the stock market, what do you do?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Sometimes even the experts can't work out what's going on.

Many ASX-listed companies put out excellent financial results and outlook, but for some reason the market continues to hate them.

This is the frustration facing the team at Forager at the moment.

"While half-yearly results were reported [in February] by most ASX-listed companies, they were not the main drivers of share prices," read a Forager Australian fund memo to clients.

"The month started with a lot of focus on increasingly concerning signs of inflation and the prospect of higher interest rates, and ended with Russia mounting a full-scale military invasion of Ukraine."

Forager is keeping the faith with 2 ASX shares in particular that have really copped the thumbs down in recent times: 

two workers in hard hats and high visibility gear give celebratory fist pumps while checking paperwork at a processing site with equipment in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the market punishing good businesses?

Perenti Global Ltd (ASX: PRN) and Macmahon Holdings Limited (ASX: MAH) are both mining services providers.

According to Forager analysts, they're "scratching their heads" as to how these stocks have "almost halved" since the start of 2021 to now hit a forward price-to-earnings ratio of just 6.

"Both companies delivered perfectly acceptable half-year results. Both have a newfound commitment to capital-allocation discipline," their memo read.

"Macmahon, in particular, has been delivering consistent and improving results for the past 4 years."

Even their sector outlook is favourable, with resources shares shining bright currently while other industries struggle for investment.

"Commodity prices [are] high and a significant pipeline of new potential mines [are] in the offing," the Forager team said. 

"And yet their share prices seem to only go down."

Despite the frustrations, the Forager team is betting that their share prices will soon start reflecting the companies' clear profitability.

"Something has to give," the memo read.

"[We] have increased the fund's holdings in both through February. Combined they represent 6% of the portfolio."

Macmahon and Perenti are not the only ones suffering from a lack of attention despite positive business performance. 

Technology shares Whispir Ltd (ASX: WSP) and Bigtincan Holdings Ltd (ASX: BTH) have both been swept up in the recent correction to growth stocks.

"Both reported better-than-expected results and strong outlooks for the current year. While less obvious, they are also showing their potential to be highly profitable once the growth taps are turned down," said the Forage team.

"If they keep getting pummelled in the short term, you should expect a substantially increased allocation to these."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo owns Whispir Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended BIGTINCAN FPO and Whispir Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BIGTINCAN FPO and Whispir Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A young male ASX investor raises his clenched fists in excitement because of rising ASX share prices today.
Broker Notes

Forget CBA shares, Bell Potter says this ASX financial stock could deliver a 75% return

The broker sees potential for major upside and a generous return from this stock.

Read more »

Lion roaring in the wild, symbolising a rising Liontown share price.
Broker Notes

Up 117% in a year, should you still buy Liontown shares now?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on the soaring Liontown share price.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Bapcor, Challenger, and DroneShield shares

Analysts have given their verdict on these shares this week. Are they bullish, bearish, or something in between?

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Broker Notes

These ASX 300 stocks could be top buys offering 25%+ returns according to Bell Potter

The broker thinks the total returns on offer with these shares could be substantial.

Read more »

A silhouette of a soldier flying a drone at sunset.
Broker Notes

The DroneShield share price has soared 266% in a year. Time to take profits?

A leading expert offers his outlook for DroneShield’s surging shares.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CBA, QBE, and Qantas shares

Let's see what analysts are saying about these shares.

Read more »

Excited couple celebrating success while looking at smartphone.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX 200 share could be dirt cheap with a 7% dividend yield

Bell Potter is predicting 50% upside and a 7% dividend yield.

Read more »