5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

Here's what to expect on the ASX 200 on Monday…

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Friday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished a disappointing week on a mildly positive note. The benchmark index rose 0.1% to finish the week at 7,304 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market looks set to start the week on a disappointing note. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 30 points or 0.4% lower this morning. This follows a poor end to the week on Wall Street, which saw the Dow Jones fall 1.5%, the S&P 500 drop 1%, and the Nasdaq edge 0.1% lower.

Oil prices drop

Energy producers such as Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) could come under pressure after oil prices ended the week deep in the red. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price dropped 2.1% to US$70.86 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price fell 2% to US$73.52 a barrel. Oil prices tumbled amid concerns over rising Omicron cases and lockdowns.

Magellan loses mandate

The Magellan Financial Group Ltd (ASX: MFG) share price is likely to tumble even lower on Monday after losing a major contract. While the fund manager is yet to reveal which contract it has lost, it is widely expected to be the St James's Place mandate. This accounts for approximately a quarter of its institutional funds under management.

Gold price rises

Gold miners Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could start the week on a positive note after the gold price pushed higher on Friday night. According to CNBC, the spot gold price rose 0.4% to US$1,804.90 an ounce. Omicron uncertainty supported demand for the safe haven asset.

NAB rated as a buy

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price remains good value according to the team at Bell Potter. In response to the bank's annual general meeting, the broker has retained its buy rating and lifted its price target to $32.00. This was driven by an increase in its earnings forecasts and a valuation boost for its business banking segment. Though, it is worth noting that US banks fell heavily on Friday night, which may not bode well for NAB and the big four today.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News

a woman with lots of shopping bags looks upwards towards the sky as if she is pondering something.
Opinions

The pros and cons of buying Zip shares in 2026

There are positive and negative aspects about Zip shares right now…

Read more »

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CBA, REA Group, and Xero shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these popular stocks. Let's see if it is bullish on them.

Read more »

A man in a suit looks serious while discussing business dealings with a couple as they sit around a computer at a desk in a bank home lending scenario.
Share Market News

Here's what Westpac says the RBA will do with interest rates in 2026

Stick or twist? Let's see what the RBA could do with rates this year.

Read more »

A woman stretches her arms into the sky as she rises above the crowd.
Best Shares

Fastest rising ASX 200 share of each market sector in 2025

These shares outperformed their sector peers last year.

Read more »

A couple stares at the tv in shock, with the man holding the remote up ready to press a button.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Aristocrat, James Hardie, and TechnologyOne shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these popular shares. Is it bullish, bearish, or something in between?

Read more »

Group of entrepreneurs feeling frustrated during a meeting in the office. Focus is on man with headache.
Share Fallers

5 worst ASX All Ords shares of 2025, and why brokers rate 4 of them a buy

The ASX All Ords rose by 7.11% in 2025 but as always, there were losers in the pack.

Read more »

A female soldier flies a drone using hand-held controls.
Best Shares

These 5 ASX All Ords shares were the fastest risers of 2025

The ASX All Ords rose by 7.11% and delivered total returns, including dividends, of 10.56% in 2025.

Read more »