Why this analyst sees 15% upside for the Coles (ASX:COL) share price

This supermarket giant's shares have been named as a buy…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price has been out of form in 2021.

Since the start of the year, the supermarket giant's shares have fallen almost 7%.

A happy, smiling woman rides on the back of a trolley down the aisles of a supermarket.

Image source: Getty Images

Is the Coles share price in the buy zone?

One leading broker sees the weakness in the Coles share price this year as a buying opportunity.

According to a recent note out of Morgans, its analysts have an add rating and $19.80 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current Coles share price of $17.28, this implies potential upside of almost 15% over the next 12 months before dividends.

But the returns don't stop there. Morgans is forecasting a fully franked dividend of 61 cents per share in FY 2022. If you include this, the potential return on offer stretches to over 18%.

What did the broker say?

Morgans is a fan of Coles due to its strong market position and the belief that consumers will continue to stay at home due to COVID-19. The broker expects this to support solid sales across its 800+ store supermarket network.

And while rival Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) will benefit from the same trends, the broker notes that its shares trade on significantly higher multiples. As a result, it sees far more value in the Coles share price at present.

Morgans commented: "While vaccines are being rolled out across Australia, we think people will continue to spend more time at home due to the ongoing risk of COVID flare-ups with the working-from-home trend also likely to stay for some time (eg, Sydney and Melbourne remain in lockdown indefinitely)."

"This will be beneficial for the major supermarket operators. We continue to see COL (~24x FY22F PE and ~3.5% yield) as offering better value than WOW (32x FY22F PE and 2.5% yield)," it added.

Overall, it feels this makes the Coles share price a good option right now.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Is this ASX defence stock the next DroneShield?

Bell Potter thinks this stock could be the next to rocket. Let's find out why.

Read more »

Happy, tablet or doctor in a laboratory with research results or positive feedback after medical data analysis. Smile, vaccine or healthcare worker reading or working on futuristic science innovation.
Broker Notes

This ASX healthcare stock could almost double in value according to Bell Potter

The broker believes this stock is making major breakthroughs.

Read more »

Smiling man sits in front of a graph on computer while using his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A woman holds her finger to the side of her face and looks upwards as she thinks about something.
Broker Notes

4 ASX shares at 52-week lows: Buy, hold, or sell?

Here's what the experts think.

Read more »

A female athlete in green spandex leaps from one cliff edge to another representing 3 ASX shares that are destined to rise and be great
Broker Notes

Up 57% since February, why Telix shares could keep leaping higher in 2026

A leading analyst believes investors are undervaluing Telix shares. But why?

Read more »

A happy young woman in a red t-shirt hold up two delicious burritos.
Broker Notes

Guzman Y Gomez shares just sank to new all-time lows. Time to buy?

A leading analyst provides his outlook for the battered Guzman Y Gomez share price.

Read more »

An oil refinery worker stands in front of an oil rig with his arms crossed and a smile on his face.
Energy Shares

4 ASX 200 energy shares rated buys

ASX 200 energy shares have skyrocketed 14% over the past month.

Read more »

A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: BHP, CBA, and Pro Medicus shares

Are analysts bullish on the big names? Let's find out.

Read more »