Qantas (ASX:QAN) share price on watch after $1.1 billion loss

Airline reports a massive 75% hit to revenue as state and international travel bans wreck the aviation industry.

| More on:
qantas pilot putting hands to her face as if distraught

Image source: Getty Images

Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) revealed Thursday it copped a statutory loss after tax of $1.1 billion and took a 75% hit in revenue for a COVID-ravaged half-year ending 31 December.

All eyes will be on the Qantas share price after it raked in just $2.33 billion of revenue, compared to $9.46 billion one year earlier. 

However, the airline touted its underlying earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of $86 million as evidence of its “fundamental resilience”.

“These figures are stark but surprising,” said group chief executive Alan Joyce.

“During the half we saw the second wave in Victoria and the strictest domestic travel restrictions since the pandemic began. Virtually all of our international flying and 70% of domestic flying stopped.”

Qantas’ money makers and loss makers

On the bright side, the domestic business generated positive cashflow despite a 70% decline in revenue and capacity. Qantas’ market share increased to about 70% after more than 20 “large” corporate accounts were added.

The loyalty points and cargo businesses still kept the money coming in for the company while passenger flights were grounded.

“The [loyalty] program has evolved to the stage where the vast majority of points are earned from activity on the ground. Qantas Freight had a record result and has been a natural hedge to the lack of international passenger flying, which has created a shortage of cargo space globally,” said Joyce.

“These factors couldn’t overcome the massive impact of this crisis, but they have softened it.”

The international business, understandably, suffered an underlying EBITDA loss of $86 million.

While its planes were grounded, the company took the chance to shed 8,500 employees, saving about $600 million for the current financial year. The restructure will eventually realise $1 billion in annual savings from 2023.

Will the Qantas share price reflect future recovery?

Recent state border closures have delayed Qantas’ recovery by 3 months, the airline estimated.

The carrier is now working with an assumption that international travel would resume at the end of October, while flights to New Zealand might pick up in July.

“The COVID vaccine rollout in Australia will take time, but the fact it’s underway gives us more certainty,” said Joyce.

“More certainty that domestic borders can stay open because frontline and quarantine workers will be vaccinated in a matter of weeks. And more certainty that international borders can open when the nationwide rollout is effectively complete by the end of October.”

Domestic capacity will hit 60% of pre-COVID levels during the current quarter, while international remains at just 8% currently.

The airline will attempt to keep cash flow positive for the financial year. Net debt will peak in the current half-year while balance sheet repair will start from next quarter.

The Qantas share price fell 0.4% on Wednesday, to trade at $5.01. The stock had been as low as $2.03 in the past 12 months.

Man who said buy Kogan shares at $3.63 says buy these 3 ASX stocks now

When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

In this FREE STOCK REPORT, Scott just revealed what he believes are the 3 ASX stocks for the post COVID world that investors should buy right now while they still can. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks these could really go gangbusters as we move into ‘the new normal’.

*Returns as of 15/2/2021

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo owns shares of Qantas Airways Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News