The sector that'll grow 480% this year, expert says

Can you smell that? That's the fragrance of a booming industry, which is still in a startup phase in Australia.

There is a sector in Australia that's about to grow its revenue by 478% in the current financial year, according to one analyst.

Consumer research firm IBISWorld revealed Tuesday that the medical cannabis manufacturing industry is currently experiencing a boom despite the still-remaining legal hurdles.

"The strict regulatory framework regarding the manufacture of medical cannabis products has limited the sector's growth over the past five years," said IBISWorld senior industry analyst Will Chapman.

"However, the recent determination by the Therapeutic Goods Administration to allow over-the-counter [cannabidiol] products to be sold without a prescription is expected to drive significant revenue growth in the years ahead."

The industry produces medicines and consumables based on one of two ingredients extracted from the cannabis plant: cannabidiol (CBD) and tetrahydrocannabinol (THC).

CBD is a non-psychoactive ingredient used as a pain killer and an anti-convulsant. THC is the stuff that gives you "a high" but can be used to treat pain and nausea, low appetite and insomnia.

Recreational use for cannabis has been legalised in Canada and some US states. There is no sign of such a development yet in Australia, but IBISWorld reckons this won't stop local cannabis businesses from growth.

"It will take time for new medical cannabis products to be approved, but medicines derived from cannabis will eventually appear on pharmacy shelves," said Chapman.

cannabis leaves on a rising line graph representing growth of ASX cannabis share price

Image source: Getty Images

Banks are offering massive finance to cannabis companies

The sector in Australia is still very much in the startup phase – so it's coming off a low base. 

Nevertheless, after seeing total revenue of just $5.4 million in the 2020 financial year, IBISWorld has forecast the current year will end with $31.2 million.

But there's still plenty of growth to come, it reported.

"Overall, medical cannabis manufacturing revenue is projected to rise at an annualised 79.1% over the five years through 2025-26, to $575.2 million," said Chapman.

"IBISWorld anticipates employment in this industry to reach 1,500 by 2025-26."

There are a few cannabis businesses listed on the ASX.

The Motley Fool reported last month Zelira Therapeutics Ltd (ASX: ZLD) had a stunning 2020, with the share price spiking up 67%. Althea Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: AGH) returned a nice 14% to its investors over the calendar year.

IBISWorld singled out Cann Group Ltd (ASX: CAN) as a "major player" in the Australian industry, with a 24% market share in the 2020 financial year.

Privately owned Little Green Pharma was also named by the analysis firm as a player to watch.

Banks have already recognised the huge potential, according to Chapman, lending out large sums to cannabis startups.

"The growth opportunities in the budding cannabis industry have not gone unnoticed by Australian financiers. In March 2020, start-up CannaPacific secured a $3.5 million debt facility from Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC). Cann Group secured a $50 million credit facility from National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) in November 2020," he said.

The ultimate milestone

Recreational legalisation may remain politically unpalatable in the near future in Australia. But the local industry's current focus is to get a cannabis-based medicine on the Australian register of Therapeutic Goods for domestic supply.

There is currently none on that hallowed list.

"For many start-up cannabis businesses, the ultimate goal is to have the medical benefits of cannabis recognised and their products accepted among medical professionals," Chapman said.

"Achieving the listing of cannabis products on the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme would be a major win for cannabis products."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ASX Share Market News

Smiling man sits in front of a graph on computer while using his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A female financial services professional with a manicured black afro hairstyle turns an ipad screen to show a client across the table a set of ASX shares figures in graph format.
ASX Share Market News

Communications and financial shares rise 4% while ASX 200 loses ground

Eight of the 11 sectors rose but a hefty fall in mining stocks pulled the ASX 200 into the red.

Read more »

An ASX investor relaxes on her couch as the Harvey Norman share price drops due to the shares trading ex-dividend from today.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX managed to pull a rabbit out of the hat today.

Read more »

Shot of a young businesswoman looking stressed out while working in an office.
Broker Notes

6 ASX stocks receiving analyst downgrades this week

Brokers reduced their ratings on NextDC, Ampol, Regis Resources, and other stocks this week. 

Read more »

Facebook thumbs up symbol surrounded by boxes with the word 'Like'.
Broker Notes

6 ASX stocks upgraded by leading brokers this week

Brokers have raised their ratings on Pro Medicus, South32, New Hope, and others. 

Read more »

Buy now written on a red key with a shopping trolley on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

6 ASX shares experts are backing amid the market downturn

Brokers maintained a positive view on Qantas, NAB, Maas Group, BHP, and other shares.

Read more »

Two woman holding a tablet and clipboard examine a server rack in a data centre.
ASX Share Market News

Data centre disasters: Why you should think twice before buying Maas Group and NextDC shares

Can these fallen ASX shares bounce back and double from here, or will they keep deteriorating?

Read more »

Two work colleagues looking at a laptop and discussing something.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Hub24, Northern Star, and Transurban shares?

Morgans has given its verdict on these shares. Is it time to buy? Let's find out.

Read more »