Zip share price surges 30% in a week. Are we calling bubble yet?

Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) shares are up around 30% in a week. Could Zip, Afterpay and other ASX payments and BNPL shares be in a bubble?

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) share price surged 10.38% yesterday in another massive day for ASX payments shares. Zip shares closed at $6.07 on Wednesday but exploded to $6.70 at market close yesterday afternoon.

Yesterday's incredible move means that the Zip share price is now up around 31% since 29 June, just over a week ago.

hand about to burst bubble containing dollar sign, asx shares, over valued

Image Source: Getty Images

BNPL, Zip shares rocket ever higher

Zip isn't the only ASX company making moves in the buy now, pay later (BNPL) space. Other ASX payments shares were also driving ASX investors into a frenzy yesterday. Sezzle Inc (ASX: SZL) shares shot up a stupendous 42% just yesterday, whilst Splitit Ltd (ASX: SPT) shares have doubled over the past month.

Zip's arch-rival Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) has also been leaving investors giddy. Fresh from its short-but-sweet capital raising, Afterpay shares were up more than 12% yesterday and hit a share price above $74 in intraday trade. Like Zip, Afterpay is also up around 30% since 29 June. Happy New Financial Year indeed!

BNPL shares have attracted many growth and momentum investors since the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) market low was hit on 23 March this year. On that day, Zip shares bottomed out at $1.05 and Afterpay at $8.01. That means anyone lucky enough to pick up Zip or Afterpay shares on that day would today be looking at a 538% and 826% gain, respectively, on yesterday's share prices.

Are we in a payments bubble?

It's hard to see these sorts of share price movements and not think we are now in 'bubble territory'. Of course, bubbles are usually only completely evident after the inevitable 'pop'.

So, what do we know right now about ASX payments shares? Yes, they are in a powerful tailwind of shifting consumer preferences. Yes, they are all growing fast (some more than others).

But we don't know how this sector is going to look in 10 years' time. Could Zip bulldoze Afterpay? Could Afterpay buy out Openpay Group Ltd (ASX: OPY)? It's very early days in this space, and right now the market is treating every payment company like they have already achieved domination. I'm sure at least one of the companies named in this article will be a lot larger and a lot more dominant in this field in a decade's time. But I'm equally certain that not all of them will be.

Foolish takeaway

If you're absolutely convinced that one of these companies has what it takes to win this game, by all means, continue to invest according to your bullish thesis. But if you're not sure, perhaps it would be wise to stay on the sidelines and watch this space for now. Missing out on a winner is tough, but losing permanent capital on a failed investment thesis is a lot tougher.

Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Sezzle Inc. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Gainers

Five young people sit in a row having fun and interacting with their mobile phones.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a slightly sour end to the trading week this Friday.

Read more »

A panel of four judges hold up cards all showing the perfect score of ten out of ten
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

ASX investors got their mojo back this Wednesday.

Read more »

3 children standing on podiums wearing Olympic medals.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Investors were back to hitting the sell button this Tuesday.

Read more »

Girl with painted hands.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Investors enjoyed a pleasant start to the trading week this Monday.

Read more »

Man and woman sitting at table with the man looking a bit puzzled at his laptop.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a rough end to a tough week this Friday for investors.

Read more »

A young man holds a small bottle of beer as he slumps sadly on one elbow in a comfortable chair with his head propped in his hand and staring into space with a dejected look on his face.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was not a pleasant day on the ASX...

Read more »

Three children wearing athletic short and singlets stand side by side on a running track wearing medals around their necks and standing with their hands on their hips.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

What went wrong this Wednesday?

Read more »

A woman's hand draws a stylised 'Top Ten' on a projected surface.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Let's take a look.

Read more »