Is the Woolworths share price a secret buy?

The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price edged 0.8% lower yesterday, but could this one update make it a cheap buy?

| More on:
shopping trolley filled with coins representing asx retail share price.ce

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price edged 0.8% lower yesterday, but is the Aussie retailer in the buy zone?

Why the Woolworths share price could be a secret buy

One thing that caught my interest yesterday was a trading update by SCA Property Group (ASX: SCP). 

SCA reported that sales performance for a number of its tenants had been volatile due to the coronavirus pandemic.

However, anchor tenants, such as supermarkets, have seen strong moving annual turnover (MAT) as at 31 May 2020.

In fact, SCA's supermarket tenants increased year-on-year MAT by 4.4% through to 31 May.

I think this could be a good indicator of Woolworths' performance so far given its dominance in the supermarket space.

Because the Woolworths share price is up just 0.7% for the year, it may be undervalued right now.

For context, the Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price is up 11.5% in 2020 while the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 10.95%.

This means that the Woolworths share price is underperforming its rival but outperforming the ASX 200 benchmark.

However, Woolworths is more of a conglomerate when compared to Coles' singular supermarket focus.

One particular drag in 2020 has been Woolworths' pubs business, ALH Group.

Tight restrictions on the hospitality sector have hurt earnings from ALH this year. However, as restrictions ease, the group could prove to become more of an asset to the Woolworths share price.

If supermarket turnover continues to climb, combined with increased pubs revenue, this could spark the Woolies share price to climb in 2020.

Foolish takeaway

The Woolworths share price is roughly unchanged from where it started the year. 

However, the positive update from SCA Property yesterday has got me thinking about whether it's undervalued.

Given the strong momentum behind ASX shares since the March bear market, I think Woolworths could be heading higher before the end of the year.

Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of COLESGROUP DEF SET, Wesfarmers Limited, and Woolworths Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

footwear asx share price on watch represented by look holding shoe and looking intently
Retail Shares

JPMorgan says buy these two undervalued ASX shares with big dividend yields

These stocks have been rated as bargain buys.

Read more »

A little girls sings her heart out on stage with tinsel sparkling behind her, she is a star.
Retail Shares

Do you own Lovisa shares? It's dividend day!

Lovisa shareholders are getting a sparkling payment today.

Read more »

A woman standing on the street looks through binoculars.
Retail Shares

What is the earnings forecast to 2026 for Wesfarmers shares?

This stock could keep making enormous profits.

Read more »

A man and woman in an office look at a laptop and discuss investing, budget strategies or other financial concepts
Retail Shares

How much passive income would $10,000 in Wesfarmers shares generate?

The owner of Bunnings is paying pleasing dividends.

Read more »

a woman wearing fashionable clothes and jewellery checks her phone with a satisfied smile on her face in a luxurous home setting.
Retail Shares

This hot ASX 300 stock is down 30% since February. Is it a buy?

This stock has fallen hard, but should investors buy the dip?

Read more »

A man eases back onto his sofa, happy with the relaxed vibe from his furniture.
Retail Shares

Why I just sold half my shares in this ASX 300 stock even though I still love it!

I’m still a big fan of this business.

Read more »

Two fashionable asx investors dancing among confetti.
Retail Shares

2 'very high-quality' ASX retail shares with significant inside ownership

A fund manager has named two appealing stocks to own.

Read more »

A man sits on a bench atop a mountain with a laptop, making investments with a green ESG mind.
Earnings Results

ASX All Ords stock KMD tumbles as interim dividend cancelled

Investors are hitting the sell button on ASX All Ords stock KMD today.

Read more »