Why I'd buy and hold Xero shares to 2025 and beyond

Why I think Xero is a great share to buy and hold beyond 2025

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

While Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) hasn't grabbed as much media attention as the other WAAAX tech shares Appen Ltd (ASX: APX), Altium Limited (ASX: APP), Afterpay Touch Group Ltd (ASX: APT) and WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC), in many ways I think it's the best and most consistent performer of the bunch.

Xero is an online accounting software provider for small businesses. Its growth over the past 10 years has been phenomenal and there are no signs of that growth slowing down anytime soon.

One of Xero's key differentiators over its competitors is that it is affordable and user-friendly. This makes it ideal for small businesses, unlike some of its competitors' products, which can be expensive and more complex to use.

Finding its niche

Xero is cleverly moving beyond just being a cloud accounting platform. Small businesses are increasingly turning towards Xero to manage their entire business, not just their finances, with Xero offering them a spectrum of tools and services. For example, the Xero platform connects customers with a wide range of financial institutions, including new global fintech companies and over 700 third-party apps, providing a very useful hub for all the relevant data and tools that small businesses require.

Strong growth story continues

In its half year earnings to 30 September 2019 (H1 FY20), Xero delivered strong growth combined with an improving gross margin and improving free cash flow. Operating revenue was up 32% to NZ$338.7 million, while earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation were up NZ$65.9 million, almost double that of H1 FY19.

There was also a 30% growth in total subscribers to 2.1 million. While it took more than a decade to add Xero's first million subscribers, it took only two and a half years to add the next million, demonstrating the increasing pace of Xero's adoption both locally and across a growing number of overseas markets.

Australian subscribers grew by 28%, and revenue up by 26% in H1 FY20. A key driver of growth in Australia was the implementation of the Australian Taxation Office's Single Touch Payroll initiative.

In other key markets, UK subscribers grew by 51%, New Zealand by 13% and North America by 21%. Xero also has a small initial presence in South Africa, Hong Kong and Singapore, where growth in subscriber numbers was even stronger.

Xero is also gaining further traction in overseas markets by addressing regulatory and tax issues that are hindering adoption in markets such as the US and UK.

Increasing profitability

Xero has a very high gross profit margin of 85%. Its core markets of Australia and New Zealand continue to see an improving upward trend in gross profit margin. Software-as-a-service (SaaS) platforms such as Xero are highly profitable once sufficient scale of subscribers is reached. This point has already been reached in Australia and New Zealand, and Xero's overseas operations are also heading down that direction.

Xero became cash flow positive for the first time in FY19.

Foolish takeaway

Despite its rapid recent growth, and its share price looking fully valued right now, I believe that Xero still has a long runway for growth ahead of it over the next decade.

Although competition could increase over the next few years, especially from US rival Intuit Inc, there is still enormous opportunity for Xero to tap into global markets.

Phil Harpur owns shares of Xero, AFTERPAY T FPO, Altium, Appen Ltd, and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Altium, Appen Ltd, WiseTech Global, and Xero. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Where to invest $8,000 on the ASX in April 2024

A leading broker thinks these shares would be quality options this month.

Read more »

Fancy font saying top ten surrounded by gold leaf set against a dark background of glittering stars.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Let's also take a look at what the various ASX sectors were doing this Wednesday.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A young women pumps her fists in excitement after seeing some good news on her laptop.
Share Gainers

Why Argosy Minerals, Immutep, Pointsbet, and Regis Resources shares are racing higher

These shares are having a strong session on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Share Fallers

Why Chalice Mining, Cleanaway, Kogan, and Perpetual shares are sinking today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

Man looking at his grocery receipt, symbolising inflation.
Share Market News

Why the ASX 200 just crumbled on today's inflation print

ASX 200 investors are hitting the sell button following the latest Australian inflation news.

Read more »

man grimaces next to falling stock graph
Share Fallers

Why did this ASX 100 stock just crash 11%?

Cleanaway shares have been on a crazy roller-coaster over the past 24 hours.

Read more »

a man in a british union jack T shirt hurdles high into the air with london bridge visible in the background.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Nick Scali shares halted amid $60m capital raising and UK expansion news

This furniture retailer has its eyes on the UK furniture market.

Read more »