Dacian Gold share price could fall on FY19 production downgrade

The Dacian Gold Limited (ASX: DCN) share price could suffer a similar fate to that of St Barbara Limited (ASX: SBM) last week and tumble in early trade after the company revised its FY19 production and cost guidance this morning.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Dacian Gold Limited (ASX: DCN) share price could suffer a similar fate to that of St Barbara Ltd (ASX: SBM) last week and tumble in early trade after the company revised its FY19 production and cost guidance this morning.

a woman

What did management say about FY19 guidance?

The company provided an operational update for its 100%-owned Mt Morgans Gold Operation (MMG) in Western Australia with expected production of 36,000 – 38,000 ounces at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,400 – $1,500 per ounce.

The company reported lower-than-expected March quarter production due to reduced availability of underground equipment (which have now been resolved) and the company expects productivities to return to design levels by the beginning of the June quarter.

The production shortfall peaked in February and was addressed earlier this month, with the Westralia underground mine now having a fleet of six 60-tonne trucks and is on track to mine 100,000 tonnes during March.

It will be interesting to see if the Dacian share price suffers the same fate as St Barbara, which saw its share price freefall more than 20% in one day after revising its own FY19 production and cost guidance.

What did St Barbara announce?

Delays have lowered expected full-year production to 235,000 – 240,000 ounces (down from a previous 245,000 – 255,000 ounces range) at an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $980 – $1,000 per ounce (up from $930 – $970 per ounce in initial guidance).

The revised cost information associated with the updated guidance is expected to be released in July 2019 with FY20 guidance and its Q4 June FY19 quarterly report.

The update, alongside less-than-outstanding results from the company's Gwalia Mass Extraction (GMX) feasibility study, sent the share price tumbling lower to close the week at $3.29, down from its February peak of $5.24 per share.

Should you buy any of the ASX gold miners?

Despite promising early gains, many of the most notable ASX gold miners have seen their share prices move into the red so far this year.

St Barbara's collapse aside, both Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) and Saracen Mineral Holdings Ltd (ASX: SAR) have seen their share prices fall 5% so far this year to $8.76 and $2.76, respectively.

The one shining light for the gold miners so far this year has been Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) which has seen its share price rocket 17% higher on strong quarterly production figures and a new joint venture with Greatland Gold announced last week.

For those Fools who are bearish on the gold miners, I'd suggest checking out these top growth shares to find the next returns booster for your portfolio.

Motley Fool contributor Lachlan Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Comical investor reading documents and surrounded by calculators.
Broker Notes

4 ASX 200 shares newly upgraded this week

As the Iran war and fuel crisis continues, some ASX 200 shares have attracted upgrades from the experts.

Read more »

A smiling woman puts fuel into her car at a petrol pump.
Broker Notes

Up 60% in a year, 3 reasons to buy Ampol shares today

A leading analyst forecasts more outperformance from Ampol’s surging shares. But why?

Read more »

A man sits on a bench atop a mountain with a laptop, making investments with a green ESG mind.
52-Week Highs

Are these ASX stocks hitting 52-week highs a buy, hold, or sell?

Can these market winners keep rallying?

Read more »

A female superhero dressed in shiny green with a mask leaps in the sky with leg and arm outstretched in a leaping action.
Share Gainers

WiseTech shares rocket 11% higher today: Buy, sell or hold?

It looks like we could see a lot more out of WiseTech shares over the next few months!

Read more »

A beautiful ocean vista is shown with a woman whose back is to the camera holding her arms up in triumph as she stands at the top of a rock feeling thrilled that ASX 200 shares are reaching multi-year high prices today
52-Week Highs

3 ASX 200 titans charging to new one-year-plus highs today

Investors just sent these three ASX 200 titans surging to new 52-week-plus highs. But why?

Read more »

Smiling worker in metal landfill.
Broker Notes

Up 45% in a year, 3 reasons to buy Sims shares today

A leading analyst forecasts more outperformance from Sims' soaring share price. But why?

Read more »

A young African mine worker is standing with a smile in front of a large haul dump truck wearing his personal protective wear.
Record Highs

Why the PLS share price just hit an all-time high

PLS shares hit a record high after upsizing US debt notes.

Read more »

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter names more of the best ASX shares to buy in April

The broker has good things to say about the shares this month.

Read more »