Dacian Gold share price could fall on FY19 production downgrade

The Dacian Gold Limited (ASX: DCN) share price could suffer a similar fate to that of St Barbara Limited (ASX: SBM) last week and tumble in early trade after the company revised its FY19 production and cost guidance this morning.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Dacian Gold Limited (ASX: DCN) share price could suffer a similar fate to that of St Barbara Ltd (ASX: SBM) last week and tumble in early trade after the company revised its FY19 production and cost guidance this morning.

What did management say about FY19 guidance?

The company provided an operational update for its 100%-owned Mt Morgans Gold Operation (MMG) in Western Australia with expected production of 36,000 – 38,000 ounces at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,400 – $1,500 per ounce.

The company reported lower-than-expected March quarter production due to reduced availability of underground equipment (which have now been resolved) and the company expects productivities to return to design levels by the beginning of the June quarter.

The production shortfall peaked in February and was addressed earlier this month, with the Westralia underground mine now having a fleet of six 60-tonne trucks and is on track to mine 100,000 tonnes during March.

It will be interesting to see if the Dacian share price suffers the same fate as St Barbara, which saw its share price freefall more than 20% in one day after revising its own FY19 production and cost guidance.

What did St Barbara announce?

Delays have lowered expected full-year production to 235,000 – 240,000 ounces (down from a previous 245,000 – 255,000 ounces range) at an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $980 – $1,000 per ounce (up from $930 – $970 per ounce in initial guidance).

The revised cost information associated with the updated guidance is expected to be released in July 2019 with FY20 guidance and its Q4 June FY19 quarterly report.

The update, alongside less-than-outstanding results from the company's Gwalia Mass Extraction (GMX) feasibility study, sent the share price tumbling lower to close the week at $3.29, down from its February peak of $5.24 per share.

Should you buy any of the ASX gold miners?

Despite promising early gains, many of the most notable ASX gold miners have seen their share prices move into the red so far this year.

St Barbara's collapse aside, both Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) and Saracen Mineral Holdings Ltd (ASX: SAR) have seen their share prices fall 5% so far this year to $8.76 and $2.76, respectively.

The one shining light for the gold miners so far this year has been Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) which has seen its share price rocket 17% higher on strong quarterly production figures and a new joint venture with Greatland Gold announced last week.

For those Fools who are bearish on the gold miners, I'd suggest checking out these top growth shares to find the next returns booster for your portfolio.

Motley Fool contributor Lachlan Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Bank Shares

Best ASX stock to buy right now: Macquarie vs. Westpac

What do brokers think about these two ASX bank stocks?

Read more »

A group of businesspeople clapping.
Opinions

My prediction for the best-performing ASX sectors in 2025

Here’s where I think the outperformers will come from.

Read more »

a woman holds a facebook like thumbs up sign high above her head. She has a very happy smile on her face.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter names more of the best ASX 200 shares to buy in 2025

Let's see why these shares have been given a big thumbs up by the broker ahead of the new year.

Read more »

A family of four wearing Santa hats open presents on the beach next to a Christmas tree.
Opinions

Top ASX shares to buy before Christmas

Here are some guilt-free purchases that you can snag without battling a crowd this Christmas.

Read more »

A man wearing a red jacket and mountain hiking clothes stands at the top of a mountain peak and looks out over countless mountain ranges.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

ASX shares had a rough end to the trading week this Friday.

Read more »

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Resources Shares

5 ASX mining shares to buy now: experts

Today is a grey day for ASX mining stocks but brokers say the future looks bright.

Read more »

Businessman studying a high technology holographic stock market chart.
Opinions

Where will the ASX 200 be this time next year?

Morgan Stanley has delivered its forecast for the Australian share market in 2025.

Read more »

Three exuberant runners dash towards the camera. One raises her arms in triumph; another jumps in the air with arms raised. The third runner gives a satisfied smile.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 200 stocks charging higher this week even as the market sinks

These three ASX 200 stocks leapt higher this week despite the sinking market.

Read more »