Why the Aristocrat Leisure share price has fallen 25% in the last 6 months

The Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ASX: ALL) share price has tumbled 25% lower over the last six months and is currently trading toward the bottom end of its 52-week range.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ASX: ALL) share price has tumbled 25% lower over the last six months and is currently trading toward the bottom end of its 52-week range.

At the time of writing, the Aristocrat share price is trading at $23.32, sitting 3.12% higher for the session.

Aristocrat Leisure is a leading global provider of gaming solutions that offer products and services, including electronic gaming machines, digital gaming and casino management system.

In early 2018, Aristocrat grew organically through the acquisition of Israel's Plarium, a social game developer, and US company Big Fish, a casual game developer. Both acquisitions are expected to contribute significantly to Aristocrat's bottom line. Hence, higher growth expectation drove Aristocrat Leisure's share price up to an all-time high of $33.06 in July 2018.

Aristocrat Leisure reported a 47.7% increase in revenue and 9.6% increase in net profit in FY 2018. The impressive results were driven by growth in the Americas, ANZ, and Digital.

Management added that Plarium and Big Fish have significantly increased Aristocrat's presence in the high-growth social game market. The acquisitions contributed substantially to the digital segment earnings with year-on-year growth of 172.5%. The digital segment now represents 27% of Aristocrat's overall profit.

After achieving record year-on-year growth, Aristocrat anticipates continued growth in 2019 but warned that FY2019 earnings are expected to be skewed to the second half.

I believe that the uncertain outlook is a major factor contributing to the recent decline in Aristocrat's share price.

Foolish takeaway

Given the uncertain outlook, Aristocrat's five-year average earnings per share (EPS) growth of 38% is notable. In comparison, its peers such as Tabcorp Holdings Limited (ASX: TAH) and Crown Resorts Ltd (ASX: CWN) have a five-year average EPS growth of -35% and 8.35% respectively.

The Aristocrat share price is now trading at 24.8 times earnings, compared to the average gaming and gambling industry price-to-earnings of 43.8 times.

Even though the short-term outlook is cloudy, investors with patience and a long-term view could do well given Aristocrat's current strong fundamentals and high growth.

Motley Fool contributor Ivan Loh has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Crown Resorts Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Broker Notes

Is it too late to buy Boss Energy shares for uranium exposure?

This uranium stock has rallied higher in January. Let's see what Bell Potter thinks of this.

Read more »

Business man marking Sell on board and underlining it
Financial Shares

3 ASX 200 financial shares to sell: experts

Market analysts explain their sell ratings on these ASX 200 financial stocks.

Read more »

St Barbara share price Minder underground looks excited a he holds a nugget of gold he has discovered.
Gold

ASX gold shares: One I'd buy and one I'd avoid

These are the gold miners I have my eye on right now.

Read more »

Man in shirt and tie falls face first down stairs.
52-Week Lows

This ASX 200 tech stock just hit a 2-year low. Is it worth a closer look?

WiseTech shares hit a 2-year low as pressure builds on one of the ASX’s former tech leaders.

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop computer in front of him.
Share Fallers

Why Brainchip, Galan Lithium, Iluka, and Ora Banda shares are tumbling today

These shares are being sold down on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

Three happy office workers cheer as they read about good financial news on a laptop.
Opinions

3 ASX stocks every Aussie investor should consider in 2026

These are my top picks!

Read more »

Two happy excited friends in euphoria mood after winning in a bet with a smartphone in hand.
Share Gainers

Why Appen, Imricor, Sunrise Metals, and Whitehaven Coal shares are charging higher today

These shares are avoiding the market weakness on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

Pieces of paper with percetage rates on them and a question mark.
Share Market News

Is the RBA about to increase interest rates? Here's the latest forecast from CBA

CBA sounds off on the market’s growing expectations of an RBA interest rate hike.

Read more »