Is Northern Star Resources Ltd a buy at this share price?

Rising gold price helps gold miner Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX:NST) to huge full year result. Should you buy?

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The Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) share price opened flat this morning as the company announced a record profit result for the full year 2017.

Net profit after tax rocketed 42% to $215 million helped by an 8% increase in revenue. Here are some of the other key points:

  • Production was down 8% to 514,700 oz
  • All-In Sustaining Costs per ounce down 3%
  • Cash and equivalents jumped 27%
  • Fully Franked dividend up 50%

So what?

Northern Star's improvement was largely thanks to sound cost control and an improving average gold price which has been a consistent theme for gold miners this reporting season.

Behind Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) and Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN), Northern Star is one of the country's largest gold producers. This scale helped it to lower All-In Sustaining Costs (ASIC) per ounce and massively improve operating margins over the prior year.

The positive news for many investors will be the 50% lift in dividend which is a reflection of Northern Star's strong balance sheet and lack of debt.

Outlook

Pleasingly, Northern Star has reaffirmed previous guidance for a growing production profile over the next two years. Full year 2018 gold production is expected to be between 525,000 – 575,000 ounces, rising to up to 600,000 ounces in 2019.

All-In Sustaining Costs are also expected to maintain a similar range in FY18 which suggests the company could be in for a big year if the price of gold rises further.

Should you buy?

I thought it was a solid result from the company which had set the bar high and I like the strong outlook going forward.

Northern Star would be one of my top picks as a quality gold producer ticking key boxes for having a strong balance sheet, low cost operations, and a growing reserve life.­

However even with the outlook for growing production I don't see the share price as a bargain at today's price. Given the commodity risk around gold I would prefer to watch for a lower price.

Motley Fool contributor Regan Pearson has no position in any stocks mentioned. You can follow him on Twitter @Regan_Invests. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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