National Australia Bank Ltd. or Suncorp Group Ltd: Which is the better buy?

Which financial stock is the better investment: National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX:NAB) or Suncorp Group Ltd (ASX:SUN)?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Since the start of 2014 the share price performances of National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB) and Suncorp Group Ltd (ASX: SUN) have been markedly different. While Suncorp, the smaller of the two with a market cap of $19 billion, has seen its share price rise by 11% year-to-date, shares in NAB (which has a market cap of $82 billion) are down 1% over the same time period.

Looking ahead, then, can Suncorp continue to outperform its larger peer, or is NAB now the better value of the two financial plays?

Super yields

With Aussie interest rates being just 2.5% and there being a decent chance that they could move lower before they move higher, dividends are becoming an even more important consideration for most investors. On this front, both Suncorp and NAB impress. They both offer fat, fully franked yields of 5.7%, which easily beat the ASX's yield of 4.5% and should help to bolster the total returns of investors in both stocks moving forward.

Valuation

However, where the two financial stocks differ markedly is in terms of their current valuations. While NAB trades at a discount to the wider market, with it having a P/E ratio of 13.3 versus 15.8 for the ASX, Suncorp's P/E ratio is far higher at 22.1. Therefore, value investors may be put off by Suncorp's higher rating, although it must be noted that the company is forecast to increase earnings at a staggering rate in the current year.

Indeed, Suncorp's bottom line is due to increase by 81% in the current year and, using expected EPS for FY 2015, shares in the company currently have a forward P/E of 14.2. While far more attractive than 22.1, it is still higher than NAB's P/E ratio of 13.3.

Growth potential

As mentioned, Suncorp's EPS is set to rise at a very rapid rate this year before it settles to a more pedestrian growth rate of 5.3% next year. This is generally in-line with the wider index growth rate, although it is below the 6.2% annualised rate that NAB is forecast to post over the next two years. Therefore, investors who are seeking a higher and more stable earnings growth profile could be better served by NAB than Suncorp. Certainly, the latter has superb prospects for the current year, but it seems unlikely to repeat anything like this level of growth in FY 2016.

Looking ahead

As a result, NAB seems to offer a steadier and more reliable outlook than its financial peer. Allied to this is an equally strong yield and a more attractive valuation which means that, overall, NAB could prove to be a better investment than Suncorp over the long term.

Of course, both companies are likely to experience some ups and downs moving forward. For instance, NAB's UK exposure could cause it a potential headache, while Suncorp is reportedly keen to grow its banking division following talks with Bank of Queensland Limited (ASX: BOQ) regarding a potential tie-up. Therefore, if you own financial stocks, it could be well-worth reading a special free report from The Motley Fool.

Motley Fool contributor Peter Stephens does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned.

More on ⏸️ Investing

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Technology Shares

Joining the revolution: How I'd invest in ASX AI shares right now

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could usher in a new industrial revolution. Here’s how you can invest in it.

Read more »

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »