3 reasons why the Coles share price is a buy

It seems like a great time to invest in this supermarket giant.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price has soared in the last several weeks, and it's close to its all-time high, as the chart below shows.

Coles isn't just a supermarket business, though that segment makes the lion's share of earnings. Other businesses include Coles Liquor, Liquorland, Flybuys, and Coles Financial Services (insurance, credit cards, and personal loans).

Its earnings diversification is not the reason why I think the company is appealing. Instead, there are (at least) three aspects that make Coles shares even at this level.

Happy woman looking for groceries. as she watches the Coles share price and Woolworths share price on her phone

Image source: Getty Images

Inflation hedge

Time will tell how much inflation flows through the economy as a result of the Middle East conflict, but it could be noticeable or even substantial, depending on how long it takes before fuel starts flowing out of the Middle East again at a normal rate.

A few years ago, Coles showed it was very willing to pass on inflation to customers (which was a boost to revenue). Perhaps the company would handle the situation slightly differently these days.

Plenty of businesses may struggle in the face of a higher inflationary period, but Coles could be a good hedge for inflation.

Even without higher inflation, I still believe Coles is capable of delivering rising revenue thanks to Australia's growing population, its expanding own brand product range, and a growing supermarket range.  

Improving profit margins

The company's profit margins are regularly increasing thanks to its efforts at improving its supply chain.

Each of its profit lines improved at a faster pace than the one before it. In the FY26 half-year result, it reported revenue growth of 2.5%, operating profit (EBITDA) growth of 7.8%, EBIT growth of 10.2%, and underlying net profit growth of 12.5%.

The business has invested significantly in automated distribution centres (ADCs) and customer fulfilment centres (CFCs).

The ADCs and CFCs are helping improve in-store availability, stock freshness, and efficiencies (including costs).

With the CFCs specifically, they're delivering a "significant uplift in customer metrics". There has been a more than 2x perfect order rate compared to the in-store fulfilment, an increase in the range of 33% compared to the average store range, and there has been a significant increase in the net promoter score (NPS – customer satisfaction).  

Solid dividend yield

At the current Coles share price, it doesn't offer the biggest dividend yield around. But it's at an appealing level for investors wanting passive income.

According to the projection on CommSec, it's forecast to pay an annual dividend per share of 76.6 cents in the 2026 financial year. That translates into a grossed-up dividend yield of 4.8%, including franking credits.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

A business person directs a pointed finger upwards on a rising arrow on a bar graph.
Opinions

A rare buying opportunity in 1 of Australia's top shares?

This business looks very undervalued to me!

Read more »

5 mini houses on a pile of coins.
Opinions

2 ASX shares I'd much rather buy than an investment property

Certain ASX shares can offer exposure to real estate with more income potential.

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Technology Shares

I was going to buy these ASX tech stocks. Now, I'm not so sure

When the facts change, so should our buying...

Read more »

A boy standing on the edge of a cliff peers at a red flag in the distance through binoculars.
Opinions

Are Pro Medicus shares a buy right now?

Pro Medicus shares are down 36% this year. What now?

Read more »

Young girl peeps over the top of her red piggy bank, ready to put coins in it.
Opinions

NAB shares: Are they cheap enough to buy after the latest drop?

NAB shares are down nearly 10%. Is this a buying window?

Read more »

Woman happy and relaxed on a sofa at a shop.
Opinions

Would Warren Buffett buy this ASX 200 share?

Would the talisman of Berkshire Hathaway like this globally-growing share?

Read more »

A group of six young people doing the limbo on a beach, indicating oversold shares that can not go any lower.
Opinions

Is the worst over for Xero shares? Here's what the chart is showing

Signs are emerging that Xero shares may have found a floor...

Read more »

A white and black clock face is shown with three hands saying Time to Buy reflecting Citi's view that it's time to buy ASX 200 banks
Opinions

Want to double your money in 2026? This is what I'd buy

High-quality ASX tech stocks are now trading well below prior highs.

Read more »