5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

It looks set to be a tough start to the week for Aussie investors.

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On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week with a small decline. The benchmark index fell 0.1% to 8,516.3 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

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ASX 200 expected to fall again

The Australian share market looks set for a tough start to the week following declines on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 65 points or 0.75% lower. In the United States, the Dow Jones was down 1.7%, the S&P 500 dropped 1.7%, and the Nasdaq tumbled 2.15%.

Oil prices jump

It could be a good start to the week for ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices jumped on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 5.45% to US$99.64 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was up 4.2% to US$112.57 a barrel. This was driven by an escalation in the Middle East conflict just when the market was hoping for a peace deal.

AMP announces buyback

The AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) share price will be on watch after the financial services company announced an on-market share buyback. AMP revealed that it will buy back up to $150 million of ordinary shares. AMP's chief executive, Alexis George, said: "We remain committed to returning surplus capital to shareholders in the absence of a compelling alternative, and prioritising organic growth in our wealth businesses. Today's announcement demonstrates this, with an on-market share buyback the most efficient use of capital at this time."

Gold price rises

ASX 200 gold shares including Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a good start to the week after the gold price rose on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was up 2.6% to US$4,524.3 an ounce. Traders appear to believe that the precious metal was oversold.

Buy Catapult shares

Bell Potter is feeling bullish on Catapult Sports Ltd (ASX: CAT) shares at current levels. In response to its trading update, the broker has retained its buy rating with a trimmed price target of $4.75 (from $4.85). Based on its current share price, this implies potential upside of almost 40% for investors. It said: "We choose not to make any change to our FY27 or FY28 forecasts at this stage – despite the stronger than expected year end ACV in FY26 – given, firstly, the lack of any other details regarding the FY26 result and, secondly, the strategy session next week which may provide further details. […]  Catapult remains our preferred mid cap exposure in the tech sector."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Catapult Sports. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Catapult Sports. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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