This ASX gold stock could rise 50% after 'landmark' moment

Big news is getting Bell Potter excited about this gold developer.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you are looking for some gold exposure outside the status quo, then it could be worth looking at the ASX gold stock in this article.

That's because the team at Bell Potter believes this gold developer's shares could be cheap following a "landmark" moment.

A couple hold up two gold shopping bags.

Image source: Getty Images

Which ASX gold stock?

The stock that Bell Potter is bullish on is Minerals 260 Ltd (ASX: MI6).

It is a Perth-based exploration and development company led by non-executive chair Tim Goyder and managing director Luke McFadyen.

Last year, it agreed binding terms for the transformational acquisition of 100% of the Bullabulling Gold Project (BGP) from Norton Gold Fields. It has a mineral resource estimate of 4.5Moz at 1.0g/t Au.

But it may not stop there. Bell Potter highlights that the project sits within a 293km2 total tenement package of granted mining and exploration leases.

What was the landmark moment?

This week, the ASX gold stock announced that it has signed a $220 million strategic funding package with Canadian gold royalties and streaming giant Franco-Nevada Corp (NYSE: FNV) to accelerate and de-risk the development of the Bullabulling gold project.

This news went down well with Bell Potter. It commented:

In our view, the pricing of both tranches of the deal is at a material premium to market and represents a strong endorsement by one of the world's most capable and successful gold investment companies. The equity component, priced at $0.45/sh, was at a 7% premium to MI6's prior closing share price before the deal.

In assessing the royalty component, we have conservatively applied the 2.45% initial rate and 1.63% tail rate to the current 4.5Moz Resource. This equates to the effective purchase by FNV:CN of ~106koz for A$170m, or A$1,600/oz. This is a substantial (~8x) premium to the ~A$200/oz (Enterprise Value per Resource ounce) we estimate for ASX-listed gold exploration companies. The deal is, in fact, better than this for MI6 as a 1.0% royalty is already held by FNV:CN over some of the Bullabulling tenements, implying a higher EV/oz metric is actually being paid for the new royalty.

Big potential returns

According to the note, the broker has retained its speculative buy rating on the ASX gold stock with an improved price target of 90 cents (from 75 cents). Based on its last close price of 59.5 cents, this implies potential upside of just over 50% for investors.

Commenting on its recommendation, Bell Potter said:

Following this deal MI6 will have ~$250m cash. This should comfortably fund MI6 through the Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) and to Final Investment Decision (FID) in early CY27, plus a meaningful portion of project CAPEX. We view this deal as a capital efficient funding mechanism and do not believe these terms would be available to many gold development companies.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

Stock market chart in green with a rising arrow symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

This ASX 200 stock turned $5,000 into $31,960 in just 1 year. Here's how

Investors have sent this ASX 200 stock rocketing 539% in 12 months. But why?

Read more »

A few gold nullets sit on an old-fashioned gold scale, representing ASX gold shares.
Gold

Buying ASX 200 gold stocks? Here's how Evolution Mining, Newmont and Northern Star shares stacked up in July

Evolution Mining, Newmont, and Northern Star Resources shares were turning heads in July.

Read more »

A woman stands in a field and raises her arms to welcome a golden sunset.
Gold

4 ASX 200 gold shares to buy: Experts

Experts explain their buy ratings following these miners' June quarter reports.

Read more »

Man putting golden coins on a board, representing multiple streams of income.
Gold

3 ASX gold companies that could double in value according to Canaccord Genuity

These producers look undervalued according to the analysts.

Read more »

Two brokers pointing and analysing a share price.
Gold

Pantoro Gold confirms high-grade continuity at Norseman Racetrack

The second phase of infill drilling at Racetrack Discovery confirmed significant high-grade gold intercepts.

Read more »

Two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen at a mine site.
Gold

FireFly Metals share price on watch following strong Green Bay drilling results and outlook

High-grade copper-gold results strengthen Green Bay resource and outlook.

Read more »

industrial asx share price on watch represented by builder looking through magnifying glass
Gold

Catalyst Metals posts record gold output, drives strong cash growth

This gold miner delivered production in line with its guidance for FY 2026.

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Gold

Emerald Resources delivers solid Q4 production and advances key projects

FY27 production guidance is 100,000–115,000 ounces of gold.

Read more »