Zip shares crash 33% on results day

Business is booming for this buy now, pay later provider, but the market isn't happy.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) share are crashing on Thursday.

In early trade, the buy now, pay later provider's shares are down 33% to $1.90.

This follows the release of Zip's half-year results before the market open.

A businesswoman exhales a deep sigh after receiving bad news, and gets on with it.

Image source: Getty Images

Record earnings and margin expansion

For the six months ended 31 December, Zip reported record cash EBTDA of $124.3 million. This was up 85.6% on the prior corresponding period.

Key drivers of this growth were its total transaction volume (TTV), which rose 34.1% to $8.4 billion, and operating margin improvements. The latter increased significantly to 18.7% from 13% a year earlier.

Transactions increased 20.2% to 54.9 million, and the number of merchants on the platform grew 10.5% to 90,600. Active customers rose by 4.1% to 6.6 million.

Cash gross profit climbed 33.5% to $314.3 million, with a strong cash net transaction margin of 3.8%, in line with the prior period.

Importantly, net bad debts were 1.73% of TTV, which is broadly in line with management's strategic settings.

US growth

The US business continues to be the primary growth engine. The company revealed that US TTV increased 44.7% year on year to $6.3 billion, with revenue up 47% to $445.3 million. Active customers in the US rose 9.7% to 4.6 million.

Zip's CEO and managing director, Cynthia Scott, said:

We continue to execute strongly on our US growth opportunity, with TTV and revenue up 44.2% and 46.4% respectively (in USD), with active customers up 9.7% (407k) year on year. We also expanded our Pay-in-Z offering, giving customers greater flexibility for everyday purchases by making Pay-in-2 available to all customers in February 2026.

In the ANZ market, TTV grew 9.7% to $2.1 billion, with revenue up 3.1%. Management noted that revenue and Australian receivables returned to growth, supported by the rollout of Zip Plus and improved funding outcomes.

Guidance upgraded

Also failing to give Zip shares a boost today is management upgrading its FY 2026 guidance.

The company now expects its group operating margin to be greater than 18%, up from its previous 16% to 19% range. It also upgraded its guidance for group cash EBTDA as a percentage of TTV to be greater than 1.4%. This is up from greater than 1.3%.

Commenting on its outlook, Scott added:

We are well-positioned to continue executing against our FY26 strategic priorities and delivering profitable growth at scale. Following a strong first half, Zip has upgraded its FY26 guidance for operating margin and cash EBTDA as a % of TTV while reconfirming its other target ranges.

Why are Zip shares crashing today?

Despite delivering strong first-half growth and upgrading parts of its guidance, the market appears to be focusing on a few more cautious elements in the release.

Revenue margin edged lower to 7.9% as the higher-growth US business, which carries a lower margin profile, made up a larger share of total transaction volume. At the same time, net bad debts increased slightly to 1.73% of TTV, up from 1.56% a year ago, even though this remains within management's target settings.

Investors may also be reacting to guidance that second-half cash EBTDA is expected to be broadly in line with the first half, suggesting profit growth may moderate from here rather than accelerate further.

With Zip shares having rallied strongly since last April, the combination of margin mix pressure, slightly higher credit losses, and a more measured second-half outlook could have triggered heavy profit-taking today.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Earnings Results

A company manager presents the ASX company earnings report to shareholders at an AGM.
Earnings Results

Storage King Group earnings: Revenue, profit fall, outlook steady

Storage King Group reported lower revenue and profit for FY26 but kept its distribution steady and boosted internal growth plans.

Read more »

Man raising both his arms in the air with a piggy bank on his lap, symbolising a record high.
Earnings Results

IPD Group reports record profits and dividends in FY26

IPD Group lifted FY26 revenue, profit and dividends above guidance.

Read more »

A couple sit in front of a laptop reading ASX shares news articles and learning about ASX 200 bargain buys
Financial Shares

QBE Insurance Group posts higher profit and lifts dividend in 1H26

QBE Insurance Group increased first-half profit and its dividend amid premium growth and a robust capital position.

Read more »

Shot of a young businesswoman using her phone at work, with stock market related images in the background.
Earnings Results

Are Telstra shares a buy, hold, or sell after their full-year results, according to this expert?

Why weren't investors pleased with Telstra's full-year results?

Read more »

A young woman in a red polka-dot dress holds an old-fashioned green telephone set in one hand and raises the phone to her ear.
Earnings Results

Telstra share price drops 5% on FY26 report despite big dividend increase

Telstra will pay a final dividend of 10.5 cents per share for FY26.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face stands under a shredded umbrella in a grey thunderstorm.
Earnings Results

IAG shares dive 7% on FY26 results despite $1.3B increase in gross written premiums

Net profit fell despite a $1.3B rise in gross written insurance premiums last financial year.

Read more »

A couple sit in front of a laptop reading ASX shares news articles and learning about ASX 200 bargain buys
Earnings Results

FINEOS swings to profit in 1H26

FINEOS posted higher revenue, swung to profit, and outlined growth plans.

Read more »

Woman using a pen on a digital stock market chart in an office.
Earnings Results

ASX Ltd FY26 results: revenue up 13%, technology upgrades, dividend declared

The stock exchange operator is paying shareholders a final dividend per share of 104.7 cents.

Read more »