3 ASX shares tipped to fall more than 30% in 2026

Here's what analysts expect from these stocks this year.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) has gone from strength to strength so far in 2026 as strong earnings results and improving investor confidence continues to drive many ASX shares higher. 

But there are some ASX shares which are tipped to travel in the other direction, with analysts tipping downsides of 30% (or more) over the next 12 months.

Disappointed woman at the falling share price with her hand oh her had.

Image source: Getty Images

Helia Group Ltd (ASX: HLI)

Helia shares closed higher on Wednesday afternoon, up 3.05% to $5.75 a piece. The share price is now 3.6% higher for the year-to-date and 15.23% higher over the year, albeit with significant peaks and troughs along the way.

Analysts are bearish on the ASX stock, with many tipping more volatility ahead for the currently-overpriced stock. Analysts have a consensus sell position on Helia shares, with a target price of $3.95 a piece. That implies a 31.30% downside at the time of writing. 

Dominos Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP)

Domino's shares closed 1.6% higher on Wednesday afternoon at $21.60 a piece. It's positive news for investors after the share price plunged 8% earlier last week following news of a leadership shakeup

Last Wednesday, the company announced it had appointed Andrew Gregory as its incoming Group Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director.

The news has come right before the pizza chain is due to report its half-year result, which is due on 25 February 2026.

For the year-to-date, Domino's shares are down 1.01%, and 33.92% below where they were this time last year.

Analysts are split on where the shares could travel from here. TradingView data shows that out of 17 analysts, six have a hold rating. Another five have a buy or strong buy rating, and six have a sell or strong sell position. 

The average target price is $20.89, which implies a 3.29% downside at the time of writing. But then some analysts think the shares could sink even further to just $13.00 a piece. That implies a 39.81% downside from the share price at the close of the ASX on Wednesday.

Boss Energy Ltd (ASX: BOE)

At the close of the ASX on Wednesday, Boss Energy shares were 3.45% higher for the day at $1.65 a piece. The hike means the shares are now 5.1% higher for the year-to-date but a whopping 46.08% below just one year ago.

The Uranium miner is heavily reliant on uranium prices, which skyrocketed in mid-January before crashing back down to normalised levels earlier this month after a fresh increase in global supply momentarily outweighed the view of soaring growing demand expectations that carried prices in recent quarters, Trading Economics explained. 

While analyst sentiment about the outlook of the stock is mixed, the majority of experts have a bearish stance. TradingView data shows that out of 16 analysts, seven have a sell or strong sell rating. Another five have a hold rating and four have a strong buy rating. 

The average target price is $1.725 per share, which implies a 4.55% upside at the time of writing. But the more bearish analysts think the shares could sink 39.39% to just $1 within the next 12 months. 

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares with 39% to 141% growth ahead of them: Experts

If you're looking for capital gains, try these shares on for size.

Read more »

A young man talks tech on his phone while looking at a laptop with a financial graph superimposed across the image.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: How does Morgans rate these ASX shares?

One of these shares could deliver a 50% return according to the broker.

Read more »

Man on computer looking at graphs.
Technology Shares

Xero shares just crashed to COVID-era lows. Is this ASX 200 tech stock broken?

This ASX 200 tech stock has crashed to multi-year lows.

Read more »

Three generation of women cuddling and smiling together.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy the dip on Life360 shares today

A leading analyst believes Life360 shares are well-placed to outperform. But why?

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Share Gainers

Why A2 Milk, Calix, CSL, and Ioneer shares are charging higher today

These shares are having a strong session on Tuesday. What's going on?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Centuria Capital, Iluka, Metcash, and Reliance Worldwide shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough session on Tuesday. What's going on?

Read more »

An oil refinery worker checks her laptop computer in front of a backdrop of oil refinery infrastructure.
Broker Notes

With oil prices falling, should I still buy Santos shares now?

A leading analyst provides his forecast for Santos' outperforming share price.

Read more »

Two ASX share investors sharing a secret.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Flight Centre, Supply Network, Lottery Corporation shares

Experts reveal their ratings on three ASX shares in the consumer discretionary sector.

Read more »