On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week deep in the red. The benchmark index fell 1.4% to 8,917.6 points.
Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:
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ASX 200 expected to rebound
The Australian share market looks set for a good start to the week despite a mixed finish on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 51 points or 0.55% higher. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 0.1%, the S&P 500 rose a fraction, and the Nasdaq edged 0.2% lower.
Oil prices edge higher
It could be a positive start to the week for ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices edged higher on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 0.1% to US$62.89 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was up 0.35% to US$67.75 a barrel. Traders were buying oil after data showed a slowdown in US inflation.
Treasury Wine results
Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) shares will be on watch on Monday when the wine giant releases its half-year results. The team at Morgans isn't expecting any surprises given that management has released guidance for the half. It said: "1H26 underlying EBITS guidance is A$225-235m, down 40-42.5% on 1H25. Penfolds EBITS is expected to fall 20%, Treasury America (TA) by 67% and Treasury Collective (TC) by 56.5%. Depressed earnings/cashflow means that TWE's 1H26 gearing of 2.5x will be well above its target range of 1.5-2.0x. We don't expect the Board to declare an interim dividend."
Gold price jumps
ASX 200 gold shares including Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a good start to the week after the gold price jumped on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was up 2.3% to US$5,063.8 an ounce. This was driven by the release of US inflation data, which supported interest rate cut hopes.
Buy Aeris shares
Bell Potter thinks investors should buy Aeris Resources Ltd (ASX: AIS) shares following a recent acquisition announcement. This morning, the broker retained its buy rating on the copper miner's shares with an improved price target of 90 cents. It said: "AIS is a copper-dominant producer, with its near-term outlook highly leveraged to the copper price, increasing production at Tritton and gold production at Cracow. Tritton is a strategic regional asset and AIS is leveraging that to extract value from this deal."
