Mining Mammoths: Are Whitehaven Coal, Rio Tinto or BHP shares a buy ahead of earnings results?

These mining giants are enjoying strong momentum heading into earnings season.

Three of Australia's largest mining companies will report important earnings results next week. 

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) will release its HY26 results on Tuesday, 17 February. 

Whitehaven Coal Ltd (ASX: WHC) will release HY26 results on Thursday, 19 February.

Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) will also release FY25 results on Thursday, 19 February.

Two young African mine workers wearing protective wear are discussing coal quality while on site at a coal mine.

Image source: Getty Images

How are these mining shares performing?

ASX materials and energy sectors have surged in the last month as these industries have benefited from commodity price tailwinds. 

The S&P/ASX 200 Energy (ASX: XEJ) index is up 8.8% in that span. 

The S&P/ASX 200 Materials (ASX: XMJ) index is up 8.66%. 

All three of these mining giants are coming into earnings results red hot, enjoying big gains over the past month: 

  • BHP shares are up 12%
  • Rio Tinto shares have risen 18.51%
  • Whitehaven Coal shares are up 4.25%

What are experts saying ahead of earnings results?

Both Rio Tinto and BHP shares hit multi year highs yesterday. 

BHP shares reached $52.64 per share during Thursday's trade, its highest share price since April 2022. 

Rio Tinto reached a record $168.78, representing an all-time high. 

With valuations looking full, investors may be cautious to jump in ahead of earnings results. 

However both are experiencing a combination of tailwinds, including commodity price surges and a strong Aussie dollar.

Analysis from Canaccord Genuity and Wilsons Advisory said the materials sector has historically exhibited the best performance during periods of AUD appreciation.

This is good news for BHP and Rio Tinto shares. 

BHP is also benefiting from shifting global demand for copper.

Copper demand is being driven by electrification, renewable energy, data centres, and electric vehicles.

This looks to be good news long-term for the mining giant. 

Is there further upside?

Out of the three mining shares, brokers seem to view BHP and Rio Tinto shares as close to fully valued. 

However based on the tailwinds discussed earlier, I wouldn't be surprised to see a re-rating should the companies post strong earnings results. 

Meanwhile, a recent note out of Ord Minnett indicated that Whitehaven Coal shares have yet to peak. 

The broker has a target price of $9.90 on the ASX energy stock. 

Yesterday, the share price closed at $8.58. 

If it was to reach the estimate from Ord Minnett, that would mean a rise of more than 15%. 

Foolish takeaway 

For these blue-chip stocks, sentiment seems to point towards recent momentum continuing thanks to a combination of tailwinds. 

Despite valuations seeming full, long term upside remains for BHP and Rio Tinto shares. 

Any share price pull back following earnings results could offer a more attractive entry point. 

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has positions in BHP Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Earnings Results

A man leans forward propped on his elbows as he holds his clasped hands to his mouth in a worried pose as he gazes at his computer screen in a home setting.
Earnings Results

5 things reporting season taught ASX investors about FY27

Five FY26 lessons that shape the year ahead.

Read more »

Two smiling colleagues looking at a tablet in a data centre.
Earnings Results

This broker is tipping 33% upside for Megaport shares

It could be time to buy the dip on Megaport shares.

Read more »

Elderly couple using laptop at home while drinking a cup of coffee.
Earnings Results

Why now is the time to buy MediBank Private shares: Expert

This stock comes with a strong yield and defensive profile.

Read more »

A gambler at a casino bets a pile of chips on one number.
Earnings Results

The Star Entertainment share price falls on FY26 earnings

The Star Entertainment Group posted a $307 million net loss for FY26, but cost cuts and stabilised revenues mark early…

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Financial Shares

Kina Securities lifts profit and dividend in half-year 2026 earnings

Kina Securities lifts 1H 2026 profit and dividend, buoyed by strong capital and digital initiatives.

Read more »

Businessman planning and analysing investment data.
Earnings Results

Kingsgate Consolidated posts record FY2026 earnings

NPAT jumps 843% and a dividend is declared on record gold and silver production.

Read more »

Woman at computer in office with a view
Earnings Results

Praemium posts FY26 revenue growth and completes platform integration

Praemium’s FY26 results show revenue growth, HNW momentum, and successful tech integration driving future opportunities.

Read more »

happy group of people
Earnings Results

Black Cat Syndicate posts record FY26 earnings and profit turnaround

Black Cat Syndicate reports record FY26 results, including a $374 million revenue surge and $86 million profit turnaround on strong…

Read more »