At record prices, why don't ASX gold miners pay high dividends?

Gold miners never seem to deliver those dividends…

A woman holds a gold bar in one hand and puts her other hand to her forehead with an apprehensive and concerned expression on her face after watching the Ramelius share price fall today

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Gold's Surge: Gold has experienced a significant rise in 2025, climbing approximately 67.65% to a record high of US$4,426 per ounce, surpassing most assets including ASX and US stocks.
  • Impact on ASX Gold Stocks: This surge has propelled ASX gold miners such as Newmont Corporation and West African Resources Ltd, with Newmont shares surging by 163.8% since January.
  • Dividend Outlook for Gold Miners: Despite high gold prices, ASX gold miners offer lower dividends due to challenging economics and lower gross margins compared to other mining stocks like Fortescue, affecting their ability to pay high dividends.

One of the most dramatic trends on investment markets this year has been the seemingly unstoppable rise of gold, and by extension, ASX gold miners. The precious metal has gone from about US$2,640 an ounce to this week's record high of US$4,426 over just 2025 to date.

That gain of approximately 67.65% means that gold has eclipsed almost every asset over the past 12 months, including both ASX and US stocks.

This gold price gain has, naturally, resulted in a boom for ASX gold stocks. Miners like Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM), Perseus Mining Ltd (ASX: PRU), West African Resources Ltd (ASX: WAF) and Vault Minerals Ltd (ASX: VAU) have seen their shares explode this year. Newmont stock, to illustrate, is currently up 163.8% since 1 January.

As a result of this modern-day gold rush, ASX investors might expect to receive a dividend bonanza from their ASX gold shares. After all, that's what we saw from iron ore miners like Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG) and BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) in 2022 when iron ore was going through the roof at the time.

Yet far from the 5-8% dividend yields we saw from BHP and Fortescue back in 2022, gold miners are offering much less today. Perseus Mining stock, for instance, currently trades on a yield of 0.92%.

Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) offers investors 1.53%, while Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) comes in above average with its 2.05% yield.

Gold miners tend to be more sensitive to the underlying price of their commodity than iron ore stocks do. As such, the triple-digit gains we have seen in many ASX gold stocks this year have played a significant part in blunting those yields.

Why don't ASX gold miners pay high dividends at record prices?

But even taking this into account, gold miners still tend to offer far lower levels of income than other mining stocks. So why might this be?Well, it probably comes down to the difficult economics of gold mining.

To illustrate, let's compare a gold miner like Northern Star Resources to Fortescue.

In its 2025 full-year results from August, Fortescue informed investors that it enjoyed an average price of US$84.79 for every dry metric tonne of iron ore that it sold over FY2025. That compares to an average cost of extraction of US$17.99 per wet metric tonne.

That implies a gross profit margin of 78.78% per tonne

Meanwhile, Northern Star reported a cost of US$2,163 for every ounce of gold that it mined in FY2025. It managed to achieve an average sale price of US$3,922 per ounce over the same period. That's a gross margin of 44.85%.

So even in the midst of a gold boom, Northern Star is only able to enjoy a gross margin of almost half that of Fortescue. And that's with Fortescue in the midst of a tough iron ore market.

With that low margin, a gold miner is simply unable to spin off the levels of free cash flow to fund bumper dividends in the same way that a low-cost iron ore miner like Fortescue can. This brutal math is why gold miners are probably never going to be strong dividend payers in the same vein as other ASX mining shares. It's a different story with those capital gains that ASX gold stocks have enjoyed this year, though.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Newmont. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

a woman wearing a sparkly strapless dress leans on a neat stack of six gold bars as she smiles and looks to the side as though she is very happy and protective of her stash. She also has gold fingernails and gold glitter pieces affixed to her cheeks.
Gold

This ASX 100 gold stock says it is on track to hit the upper end of production guidance

This gold company has grown its cash and bullion reserves after another strong quarter.

Read more »

a man wearing a gold shirt smiles widely as he is engulfed in a shower of gold confetti falling from the sky. representing a new gold discovery by ASX mining share OzAurum Resources
Gold

Guess which ASX 200 gold stock is charging to a record high on stellar update

Let's see which gold miner is breaking records on Wednesday.

Read more »

Child with superhero mask and cape flies after jumping on sofa
AI Stocks

3 of the fastest-growing stocks on the planet in 2025

These stocks soared in 2025.

Read more »

a man wearing a gold shirt smiles widely as he is engulfed in a shower of gold confetti falling from the sky. representing a new gold discovery by ASX mining share OzAurum Resources
Gold

Broker names 2 ASX 200 gold stocks to buy

Bell Potter thinks these gold miners could deliver strong returns.

Read more »

A gold bear and bull face off on a share market chart
Gold

What's this broker's outlook on Northern Star shares?

Should you buy the dip on this ASX 200 gold stock?

Read more »

Man putting golden coins on a board representing multiple streams of income.
Gold

Is the gold bull run over? Far from it according to this market expert

Global uncertainty and buying from central banks should underpin another strong year for the gold price.

Read more »

Two miners examine things they have taken out the ground.
Gold

Should you buy the early 2026 big dip in Northern Star shares?

After dropping 9% on Friday, are Northern Star shares now on sale?

Read more »

a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow
Gold

Can Genesis Minerals shares keep running after a 195% surge in a year?

Genesis shares are trading near record highs.

Read more »