Is the worst finally over for CSL shares?

Has the share price finally bottomed?

| More on:
A young man wearing a backpack in a city street crosses his fingers and hopes for the best.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Shares dipped 0.11%, following a recent 3.64% monthly rise, suggesting possible stabilisation after prior sell-offs due to disappointing FY25 results and guidance downgrades.
  • After a recent 7% recovery, analysts are optimistic about CSL's prospects, noting increased investor interest with an average target price implying a 51.57% upside.
  • Macquarie and UBS rate CSL as a buy with targets around $275, suggesting a 50% gain potential, supported by positive sentiment from Red Leaf Securities.

CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) shares dipped 0.11% for the day on Tuesday. At the close of the ASX, the share price was $183.44. The decline is small though, and off the back of a 3.64% increase over the past month it sparks the question: Have CSL shares finally reached the bottom?

What happened to CSL shares?

The biotech company's shares suffered a brutal sell-off in mid-August. This followed CSL's FY25 results, where a surprise restructure announcement strategic demerger sparked an investor panic. Investors weren't happy with the announcement and sold off their shares in fear. As a result, the CSL share price lost around a fifth of its value within just one week. At the time, analysts said the investor reaction was overdone and unwarranted. 

Just two and a half months later, in late-October, the company's share price dropped another 19.2% to a seven-year low after it downgraded its FY26 revenue and profit growth guidance. Management had originally forecast an FY26 revenue growth of 4-5% and forecast net profit after tax before amortisation (NPATA) to grow 7-10%. But in October this was downgraded to FY26 revenue guidance of 2-3% and NPATA growth guidance of 4-7%. CSL also said its planned demerger of its Seqirus business will be pushed back.

Have CSL shares finally reached the bottom?

Despite a cluster of headwinds facing the business this year, and a downwards spiral of the CSL share price, it looks like we could be beginning to see green shoots of recovery.

Since the latest price plunge, CSL shares have climbed just over 7%. While the share price has fallen a little further today, I'm optimistic investor sentiment is turning a corner. CSL shares were the fifth most-traded by CommSec clients last week, over half of which was buying activity. If investor interest begins to pick up, it could mean that the share price does too. 

Analysts appear to be bullish about the stock too. Tradingview data shows that out of 18 analysts, 1 have a buy or strong buy rating on CSL shares. The remaining 4 have a hold rating.

The average target price for the stock is $242.20, but some expect this could be as high as $278.05 over the next 12 months. At the time of writing this implies a huge potential 51.57% upside for investors. 

Macquarie and UBS have a buy rating on CSL shares and a 12-month price target of $275.20 and $275 respectively. This suggests a potential 50% gain from here.

The team at Red Leaf Securities thinks that the biotech giant has been oversold and have named it as an ASX share to buy this week.

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

St Barbara share price Minder underground looks excited a he holds a nugget of gold he has discovered.
Gold

ASX gold shares: One I'd buy and one I'd avoid

These are the gold miners I have my eye on right now.

Read more »

Three happy office workers cheer as they read about good financial news on a laptop.
Opinions

3 ASX stocks every Aussie investor should consider in 2026

These are my top picks!

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

3 top ASX dividend share buys for passive income in February

Looking for passive income? These look like good buys right now.

Read more »

Woman with an amazed expression has her hands and arms out with a laptop in front of her.
Opinions

VAS and IVV: 3 reasons these two ASX ETFs belong in a long-term portfolio

Here's why I think these shares are a no-brainer.

Read more »

A young girl looks up and balances a pencil on her nose, while thinking about a decision she has to make.
Opinions

Should I sell my CBA shares in 2026?

What's next for the banking giant this year?

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Opinions

Here's my buy list if the stock market crashes in 2026

If stocks go down this year, I'll be ready.

Read more »

Five happy young friends on the coast, dabbing and raising their arms in the air.
Opinions

Top Australian shares to buy right now with $2,000

Here are my five favourites.

Read more »

Hand of a woman carrying a bag of money, representing the concept of saving money or earning dividends.
Dividend Investing

3 wonderful ASX dividend shares I'd buy with $3,000 right now

I’d call these stocks wonderful buys for passive income.

Read more »