Why I think this ASX small-cap stock is a bargain at $9!

This small business has big potential…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Gentrack Group Ltd (ASX: GTK) is a small-cap stock providing software solutions for utilities and airports, offering a largely defensive earnings base with strong growth prospects.
  • Despite a recent rise in share price, Gentrack is still down 30% over the past year, presenting a more attractive valuation for potential investors.
  • The company shows strong earnings growth with a significant increase in revenue and profit, supported by a mature pipeline and high growth targets for FY26.

The ASX small-cap stock Gentrack Group Ltd (ASX: GTK) may not be a big business but it looks like it has large potential.

It offers software for both utility businesses and airports. Some of its clients include Engie, EON, Amber, Melbourne Airport, Sydney Airport, London Gatwick Airport, JFK Airport, Edinburgh Airport, Brisbane Airport, Seattle-Tacoma Airport and Launceston Airport.

As a software provider for essential businesses, I think it has a largely defensive earnings base, with good prospects for further growth. As long as it continues investing in its software to ensure it maintains and grows its customer base, then the future looks bright for the company.

Two boys looking at each other while standing by the start line with two schoolgirls.

Image source: Getty Images

Better valuation

While the Gentrack share price has jumped in the last few weeks, it's still down by around 30% over the past year, as the chart below shows.

I think the recent jump of the Gentrack share price is a good sign that the market is encouraged by what the business recently reported. But, it's still a lot cheaper than it was a year ago.

As the saying goes, it's better to 'buy low'. With Gentrack's share price still a lot lower, I think the ASX small-cap stock looks much more appealing, particularly with the company's outlook for earnings growth.

Strong earnings growth outlook

The company's FY25 result was solid, with 7.9% revenue growth (and 13% recurring revenue growth), 18% operating profit (EBITDA) growth and 119% net profit after tax (NPAT) growth. However, some of the net profit growth was due to a $3.2 million benefit from a positive change in foreign exchange rates.  

In the utilities segment, it's expecting its software and support revenue to grow around 10% in FY26 after several recent go-lives and others "are expected". It said it's moving towards its medium-term growth target of more than 15%. Gentrack said its pipeline has matured considerably.

On the airport side of things, for FY26 it has "high visibility" to match FY25's growth of 15% and a "strong pipeline that could see that accelerate".

In the ASX small-cap stock's outlook statement for FY26, the business wrote:

Based on the scale and maturity of our pipeline we are confident that revenue growth will be higher in FY26 than in FY25, but it is too early to provide further guidance.

With strong and growing engagement across EMEA and APAC, our proven track record and the market potential, we remain confident of our mid-term guidance of growing revenue more than 15% CAGR and an EBITDA margin of 15-20% after expensing all development costs.

I think the ASX small-cap stock is definitely one to watch for the foreseeable future.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Gentrack Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Gentrack Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

A graphic depicting a businessman in a business suit standing with his hand to his chin looking at a large red arrow pointing upwards above a line up of oil barrels againist the backdrop of a world map.
Energy Shares

With Hormuz closed, is there an opening to buy Woodside shares?

Should investors react to this news out of the Middle East?

Read more »

Three trophies in declining sizes with a red curtain backdrop.
Opinions

3 ASX shares I'd buy with $5,000 this week

These ASX shares are tipped to increase 20% or more over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A young investor working on his ASX shares portfolio on his laptop.
Opinions

2 ASX LICs to buy now: expert

LICs typically invest in diversified asset portfolios and are traded like ordinary ASX shares.

Read more »

A gold gloved hand is held up in a stop gesture.
Opinions

Up 80% in 2 years with a 15% dividend yield, expert says sell this ASX ETF now

Let's take a look.

Read more »

A group of young people lined up on a wall are happy looking at their laptops and devices as they invest in the latest trendy stock.
Opinions

Could July give the ASX 200 the push it needs after a quiet finish to June?

History suggests July could be worth watching for our local shares.

Read more »

Five young boys wearing small caps sit on a bench together watching a baseball game.
Opinions

5 ASX 200 shares I'd buy with $5,000 in July

I think these ASX 200 shares are now trading below fair value.

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Opinions

2 ASX shares I plan to own until I'm 100

I expect to own these ASX shares for decades to come!

Read more »

Four people on the beach leap high into the air.
Opinions

4 ASX 200 shares I'd buy before the end of June

Want to add to your portfolio before the end of the financial year? Here are some ideas.

Read more »