Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) shares are 2.69% higher in Tuesday afternoon trade. At the time of writing, the shares are changing hands for $1.41 a piece. This means the lithium stock's shares are now 16.7% higher over the past month. They're now up a whopping 147.72% for the year to date.
Liontown Resources is a mineral exploration and development company focused on the development of high-quality lithium and tantalum projects in Western Australia (WA). The company controls 100% of the lithium rights to two prospective projects in WA, Kathleen Valley and Buldania.
Its flagship Kathleen Valley project is described as "one of the world's largest and highest-grade hard rock lithium deposits".
Why has the lithium stock's share price rocketed higher this year?
ASX lithium shares have outperformed the market this year. This is because soaring demand for lithium to power batteries and new infrastructure continued to increase. For example, demand for electric vehicles, which are by far the biggest consumers of lithium, is growing faster than carmakers can keep up. And grid-scale energy storage to stabilise renewable energy is also a fast-growing source of demand.
Meanwhile, Liontown Resources also ramped up its output at its Kathleen Valley project during 2025. This gave the company the ability to capture a lot of the demand. Commercial production was declared on 1st January this year, and by the end of FY25, the company had produced over 300,000 wet metric tonnes of spodumene concentrate.
There are reports this week that Liontown Resources held its first digital auction for 10000 wet metric tonnes of spodumene concentrate. The company secured a bid of US$1254/dmt.
The lithium producer was one of the top 10 most-traded ASX shares last week.
What's next for Liontown Resources?
While the rally for lithium demand has exploded this year, concerns have arisen that the company's shares may have now peaked.
TradingView data shows that analyst sentiment is still divided. Out of 12 analysts, 6 have a sell or strong sell on the lithium stock. Another 4 have a hold rating, and 2 have a strong buy rating.
The average 12-month target price for Liontown Resources is $0.965 per share, which implies a potential 31.7% downside for the shares, at the time of writing.
The team at Macquarie have an underperform rating on Liontown Resources shares, and a $0.65 12-month target price. This implies a potential 53.9% decrease at the time of writing.
Bell Potter is much more bullish on Liontown Resources shares. The broker has a buy rating and $1.52 target price on the stock, which implies a potential 7.8% upside at the time of writing.
