Flight Centre shares tipped to fly 35% higher

Macquarie analysts have revealed their latest outlook on the stock.

| More on:
Rising green arrow with a plane in the sky.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Flight Centre shares rise 1.96% to $12.47 after recent gains, following a trading update at their annual general meeting.
  • Analysts at Macquarie maintain an outperform rating for Flight Centre, raising their target price to $16.85, signalling potential 35.1% upside.
  • The company targets an underlying profit increase of 5.5% to 17.6% for FY26, with significant growth expected in the second half of the year.

Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) shares are climbing higher on Thursday morning. At the time of writing the shares have risen 1.96% to $12.47 a piece. The gains are welcome news for investors after the shares dropped to a multi-year low of $11.46 late last week.

Over the past month the travel operator's shares have increased 6.49%, but after a huge sell-off earlier this year, the shares are still down 24.9% over the past 12 months.

The latest share price rise follows the company's annual general meeting (AGM) and trading update yesterday morning. Flight Centre's managing director, Graham Turner, revealed that the company has started FY 2026 positively. He added that while the company's Leisure segment isn't out of the woods just yet, there are positive signs that the recovery is coming. 

Flight Centre revealed that it is targeting an underlying profit before tax of $305 million to $340 million in FY26. This represents a 5.5% to 17.6% increase from the prior corresponding period. The company expects the lion's share of this performance to come in the second half of the year.

This morning, analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) updated their target price on the shares.

More upside ahead for Flight Centre Shares

In a new note to investors, the broker has confirmed its outperform rating on the travel stock. It has also raised its target price to $16.85, up from $16.55 in August.

At the time of writing this represents a potential 35.1% upside over the next 12 months.

"Valuation: TP +2% to $16.85ps ($16.55 prior), reflecting earnings revisions. Our current valuation implies a ~7x NTM EV/EBITDA multiple, with material upside on earnings delivery," Macquarie said in its note.

Changes to EPS: FY26/27/28E +6%/+2%/+3%, reflecting revisions post AGM trading update and guidance.

Outperform. FLT is well on track to deliver FY26 guidance, with solid TTV growth across both segments. Corporate is seeing the early benefits from Prod Ops initiatives with strong TTV growth on lower FTEs. Valuation attractive, and we see material upside to the current share price over a 12m view.

What else did Macquarie have to say?

The broker noted that Flight Centre's FY26 underlying profit before tax guidance is, at the mid-point, 1-2% ahead of market estimates.

FLT has seen solid TTV growth over first four months with underlying profit tracking ahead of pcp, although FLT continues to guide to 1H26 UPBT being largely in line with the pcp.

Macquarie added that corporate is performing well, driven by a return to modest profit in Asia, a solid pipeline of new account wins, and further productivity gains in Q1 FY26.

We remain confident Corporate will deliver strong revenue growth through FY26 with improving margins as operational and cost initiatives come through.

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Broker Notes

Experts name 3 popular 200 ASX shares to sell now

Let's find out why analysts are feeling bearish about these shares.

Read more »

Five happy miners standing next to each other representing ASX coal mining shares which some brokers say could pay big dividends this year
Broker Notes

7 ASX mining shares to buy for Christmas amid upgrades from Macquarie

Macquarie has boosted its outlook for these seven ASX mining stocks. Let’s see why.

Read more »

A man in a business suit scratches his head looking at a graph that started high then dips, then starts to go up again like a rollercoaster.
Healthcare Shares

Is Sigma Healthcare share a healthy buy, after hitting new lows?

The Chemist Warehouse merger and ageing population might boost this stock's appeal.

Read more »

A male ASX 200 broker wearing a blue shirt and black tie holds one hand to his chin with the other arm crossed across his body as he watches stock prices on a digital screen while deep in thought
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

Here's what to expect on the Australian share market today.

Read more »

Man looking at digital holograms of graphs, charts, and data.
Share Market News

This new ASX stock has returned 70% since January

This new stock might get a lot of attention...

Read more »

A female CSL investor looking happy holds a big fan of Australian cash notes in her hand representing strong dividends being paid to her
Opinions

2 strong Australian stocks to buy now with $10,000

These businesses have a strong outlook for long-term growth.

Read more »

A neon sign says 'Top Ten'.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a Garfield kind of Monday for investors.

Read more »

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Catapult, Step One, WiseTech Global shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these shares. Are they buys, holds, or sells?

Read more »