Bitcoin and gold surge to record highs as investors pile into the debasement trade

A weakening dollar and record bitcoin price have investors chasing hard assets in 2025's defining market trend.

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Key points

  • Bitcoin price hits record highs above US$125,000 as gold also sets fresh records in 2025. 
  • Investors embrace the ‘debasement trade’ amid a weakening US dollar and rising fiscal concerns. 
  • ETFs offer exposure to bitcoin and gold without the complexity of physical ownership. 

The Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price has reached yet another all-time high, surging above US$125,000 (AUD$190,000) over the weekend as investors pile into assets viewed as hedges against currency debasement.

Gold is also glittering, flirting with a new record near US$3,900 an ounce, while silver continues its 2025 rally. The twin rise has been driven by growing concern over fiscal deficits, falling real yields, and renewed doubts about the strength of the US dollar, which has slipped roughly 10% this year.

Together, these moves form part of what traders are now calling "the debasement trade"— a bet that scarce, hard assets will outperform fiat currencies in an era of mounting government debt and persistent inflation.

Why investors are chasing 'store-of-value' assets

The so-called debasement trade emerged late last year and has accelerated in recent months, according to strategists at major banks. With global debt ratios climbing and central banks cutting rates despite lingering inflation, many investors are rethinking their confidence in paper money.

This has reignited demand for traditional safe havens, such as gold, as well as digital alternatives like bitcoin—often referred to as "digital gold." At JPMorgan, analysts estimate that bitcoin could be undervalued by as much as 40% compared to gold on a volatility-adjusted basis, suggesting a theoretical upside of around US$165,000 if current trends persist.

ETF inflows reflect that sentiment shift. After the approval of several spot bitcoin ETFs in early 2025, investment flows into both gold and bitcoin funds have surged. JPMorgan's research shows that retail investors initially led the charge, but institutional buyers have since joined in, diversifying away from fiat currencies as a hedge against economic uncertainty.

Gold's enduring appeal and bitcoin's new role

While gold remains the go-to hedge for many conservative investors, bitcoin's growing mainstream acceptance has expanded the menu of store-of-value options. Both assets have benefited from what some analysts describe as a "loss of faith in currency stewardship", particularly as US deficits continue to run well above historical averages.

Veteran fund managers have noted that, unlike past cycles, this surge is not merely a reaction to short-term events, such as the current US government shutdown, but a broader, structural reevaluation of money itself.

How investors can participate

For those unwilling to hold physical gold bars or navigate the complexities of bitcoin custody, there are simpler ways to gain exposure. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) enable investors to participate in the price movements of both assets without requiring direct ownership.

For gold, popular options include exposure to miners and global bullion-backed ETFs, while spot bitcoin ETFs provide regulated access to the cryptocurrency's market price. These vehicles have been instrumental in broadening participation and reducing the friction traditionally associated with investing in alternative stores of value.

Foolish Takeaway

Bitcoin's rapid rise to new highs, alongside gold's record-breaking run, underscores a deepening investor appetite for scarcity in an era of monetary expansion. Whether this "debasement trade" continues depends on inflation trends, fiscal discipline, and investor confidence in central banks.

In the meantime, it's worth remembering that while these assets can serve as potential hedges, they also carry volatility. Continue to treat bitcoin as a risky asset and limit your exposure accordingly.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Bitcoin and JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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