Macquarie predicts 24% upside for this ASX tech share

Is this high-performing tech share on your watchlist?

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Data#3 Ltd (ASX: DTL) may not be the most well-known ASX tech share.

But the established IT services and solutions provider has been delivering returns for investors for years.

And Macquarie, which sees a 24% upside for the ASX technology stock, expects that trend to continue.

What is Data#3?

Data#3, founded in 1977 as Powell Clark and Associates, started as an IT software consultancy business for small to medium-sized organisations.

Following a merger with Allbrand Typewriters and Office Machines in 1984, the new entity came to be known as Data#3.

The company listed on the ASX in 1997, and has proved to be a solid wealth builder for early investors.

Back in July 2015, Data#3 shares were changing hands for less than $1 each.

Now, Data#3 shares are trading at around $7.50 apiece.

From its early days as one of Queensland's first personal computer dealers, Brisbane-based Data3#, with operations across Australia and Fiji, continues to expand its footprint.

The IT company now has over 1,400 staff and opened a new office in Perth last week.

Strong results

Data3# posted gross sales of $2.8 billion for FY24, up 7.6% on the previous year.

That saw the company report a gross profit of $270.1 million for the financial year, an increase of 7.8% on FY23's result.

Where to next?

Macquarie has a price target of $9 on Data#3 shares.

That represents a potential total shareholder return of 24% over the next 12 months.

The broker is expecting Data#3 to steadily increase profits over the coming years.

The IT company's gross profit is forecast to grow to over $350 million for FY27.

In the near term, Macquarie expects Data#3's business to benefit as cloud migration and AI adoption continues.  

Demand for Data#3's services will further increase as customers require support when Windows 10 reaches its end-of-life date in October, according to the broker.

DTL offers investors a high-quality exposure to thematics around AI growth and increased software adoption.

We expect the company to benefit from near-term tailwinds such as a 'Software Refresh' from Windows 10 to 11, as well as potentially benefiting from greater purchasing of AI PCs in the future, while still also generating a consistent (fully-franked) dividend yield (4%) and maintaining a return on equity >50%, considerably above WACC (MQe: 11%).

Foolish Takeaway

With a market cap of around $1.16 billion, Data#3 does not garner the level of attention of better-known ASX tech shares.

But with a track record of delivering strong results combined with a promising outlook, Data#3 certainly deserves a place on every ASX tech investor's watch list.

Motley Fool contributor Steve Holland has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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