BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares have been grabbing plenty of investor attention since the miner released its latest quarterly results and full-year summary on Friday.
Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining giant closed up 3.0% following that update, ending the day trading for $40.29. In late morning trade today, shares are down 0.7%, changing hands for $40.01 apiece.
That sees shares in Australia's biggest miner up 1.2% in 2025, with the stock remaining down 3.9% over 12 months.
Though if we add back in the $1.90 a share in fully franked dividends BHP paid out over the full year, investors will be sitting on a small, accumulated gain of some 0.7%.
Which brings us back to our headline question.
Should I buy today's dip on BHP shares?
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What did the ASX 200 miner report?
For some better insight into that question, here's a quick recap of BHP's latest results.
On the copper front, BHP shares got a boost with the miner producing a record 2.02 million tonnes of the red metal in FY 2025, up 8% from FY 2024.
Full-year iron ore production also hit new records, up 1% to 263 million tonnes.
It was a similar story for its iron ore production, which lifted 2% in the fourth quarter to 70.3Mt and then 1% to 263Mt for the year.
BHP's Jansen Potash project did raise some investor concerns, with the miner increasing its capital expenditure estimates for the first stage of the project from US$5.7 billion to somewhere between US$7 billion and US$7.4 billion (including contingencies).
Are BHP shares a good buy right now?
While most Australians hold BHP shares in their superannuation accounts, not everyone is adding to those holdings.
If you have extra investment funds at hand, I believe BHP should offer long-term capital growth from current levels. And the miner's fully franked 4.7% dividend yield is nothing to sneeze at either.
Much of the near-term moves in BHP shares will depend on how iron ore and copper prices track.
Copper is broadly forecast to keep pushing higher amid ongoing demand growth for the global energy transition. The red metal is currently trading for US$9,779 per tonne.
Iron ore is still widely expected to retrace back to, or below, US$90 per tonne. But it's worth noting that the industrial metal is back at just about US$101 per tonne today. That comes amid speculations that China is poised to release new stimulus measures to spur its sluggish property markets.
The analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) also have a bullish outlook for BHP shares.
Earlier in July, prior to Friday's update, Macquarie placed an outperform rating on BHP.
The broker said it preferred BHP over Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) and Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG) stock, noting, "We are drawn to BHP's lower cost asset position."
