ASX retail share whose 'fundamentals have deteriorated significantly': expert

Christopher Watt from Bell Potter explains his views on this former market darling.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX retail share Cettire Ltd (ASX: CTT) has crumbled in value since early 2024.

Christopher Watt from Bell Potter says the 'fundamentals have deteriorated significantly' for Cettire shares.

According to The Bull, the broker has placed a sell rating on the ASX retail stock.

Let's find out more.

A male investor sits at his desk pondering at his laptop screen with a piece of paper in his hand.

Image source: Getty Images

ASX retail share's valuation 'significantly slashed'

Recently, we covered in detail the demise of the Cettire share price since early 2024.

It's been a significant fall from grace for this ASX retail share, which was the No. 1 All Ords stock for price growth in FY23.

The online luxury goods retailer was on a fantastic trajectory back then and rose to a record of $4.90 per share on 1 March 2024.

Last month, the ASX retail share hit a 10-year low of 25 cents. That's a dramatic 90%-plus fall from its record high.

Watt explained his rating:

CTT's fundamentals have deteriorated significantly, with weak cash flow, negative EBITDA and near term risks from US tariff exposure and foreign exchange volatility.

Its valuation has been significantly slashed.

While the price now reflects some pessimism, we believe structural concerns around margin pressure remain.

In our view, the stock lacks conviction amid a speculative risk profile. There is no dividend.

Arthur Garipoli of Seneca Financial Solutions also has a sell rating on this ASX retail share.

Garipoli said Cettire's ongoing challenges were highlighted in a softer-than-expected trading update for 3Q FY25.

He also told The Bull:

The company experienced softening demand in its established markets, notably the United States, in the third quarter of fiscal year 2025.

The adjusted EBITDA loss was $4.7 million, including a $2.1 million foreign exchange loss.

What's the latest news from Cettire?

There was a fresh trading update for the ASX retail share released last month.

On 12 June, Cettire provided unaudited numbers for the 2025 financial year-to-date (YTD) ending 31 May 2025.

Cettire said sales revenue was $693.8 million for the 11 months, up 1.7% on the same period in FY24.

The FY25 YTD delivered margin was about 16% amid additional promotions and higher fulfilment costs over the year.

Cettire said its YTD FY25 adjusted EBITDA was $500,000, including an additional $2 million FX loss over April and May.

Cettire's Founder and CEO, Dean Mintz, said:

The operating environment within the global personal luxury goods market since Cettire's Q3 FY25 trading update has remained volatile, with a continued softening of demand in the Company's Established Markets, notably in the US.

Recent results from luxury industry participants point to continued challenges in the sector, amplified by trade uncertainty surrounding US tariff policy. As a result, elevated promotional activity persists across the market.

Mintz said the Cettire team was focused on geographic revenue diversification and improving the delivered margin percentage.

He noted that recent weaker demand in established markets was partially offset by more stable demand in emerging markets.

He said:

The Company's Emerging Markets continue to demonstrate a significant opportunity and Cettire is evaluating a further expansion in its footprint, having launched operations in Kuwait and Bahrain in recent weeks.

What's next for this ASX retail share?

Garipoli is worried that softer global demand and uncertainty over tariffs are not the only reasons behind the declining Cettire share price.

He said:

We're concerned company issues are possibly becoming more structural than cyclical, increasing uncertainty about its performance outlook.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

2 kids riding a mini toy vehicle
Opinions

3 ASX 200 shares I'd want my kids to own for the next 20 years

These are my top picks right now.

Read more »

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Opinions

With cash profits jumping to $11 billion, are CBA shares now a buy, hold or sell?

CBA enjoyed a very profitable FY 2026. But is the ASX 200 bank stock a buy for FY 2027?

Read more »

A white and black clock face is shown with Time to Buy written.
Opinions

2 top ASX shares to buy and hold for the next decade

These stocks have a lot to offer long-term investors…

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Opinions

2 ASX shares I am close to buying in August

I’m thinking about buying these ASX shares, they could deliver strong returns!

Read more »

Two playful kangaroos relaxing on a beach.
Opinions

2 strong Australian stocks to buy now with $9,000

These businesses have strong return potential…

Read more »

Rival hands reaching upward for a company trophy or prize.
Opinions

Up 214% in 5 years! Is this still a top Australian stock to buy?

This business has done extremely well. Is it still a buy?

Read more »

Man holding fifty Australian Dollar banknotes in his hands, symbolising dividends.
Opinions

197,469 shares of this high-yield ASX dividend stock pays an income equal to the Age Pension

This stock is one of my favourite options for passive income.

Read more »

A man peers out from a high collared jacket with just his eyes and nose visible amid a swirling snowstorm.
Opinions

2 ASX shares I'd buy this July

July may be cold, but I think these shares are looking hot.

Read more »