Morgans says these ASX stocks can rise 30% to ~50%

Let's see which shares could generate big returns for investors.

| More on:
Three happy office workers cheer as they read about good financial news on a laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you have money to put into the share market in July, it could be worth hearing about the ASX stocks that Morgans is recommending to clients.

Especially given that it believes they could rise at least 30% from current levels. Here's what you need to know about them:

Alliance Aviation Services Ltd (ASX: AQZ)

This aviation services company's shares could be undervalued according to the broker.

It was pleased to see that the company has recently announced two transactions that have helped reduce its debt load meaningfully. It said:

AQZ recently announced two significant aviation services transactions. Both transactions have no impact on FY25 earnings guidance. The AVIAN E190 inventory transaction was included in FY25 net debt guidance. However, the engine sale was not, given previous expectations were for completion in FY26. We have therefore reduced our FY25 net debt forecast to A$390m from A$428.5m. Our FY26 net debt forecast is unchanged at A$360m. Our FY25 NPBT forecasts are unchanged. We have reduced FY26/27F NPBT by 3.3%/0.9% due to fewer aircraft now being in the operational fleet.

Morgans has a buy rating and $3.80 price target on its shares. Based on its current share price of $2.59, this implies potential upside of 47% over the next 12 months.

Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST)

Another ASX stock that could be destined to deliver big returns for investors is gold miner Northern Star.

While Morgans wasn't overly impressed with Northern Star's guidance for FY 2026, it remains positive on the investment opportunity here even after reducing its valuation meaningfully. It said:

FY26 guidance was outlined, with unit costs and capex materially above both Morgans and consensus forecasts. We expect a step-up in sustaining capital will be guided to align with the updated unit cost guidance.

Overall, the update disappointed and reflected in the share price action (–8.6%). FY26 adjustments were poorly flagged, with the new AISC midpoint +12% above consensus along with additional growth CAPEX items. We adjust our forecasts in line with updated guidance and reduce our price target to A$21.78ps (previously A$25.32ps). Today's sell-off reflects a rebasing of NST's share price following a strong FY25 performance (aided by the macro). Looking ahead, operational execution and disciplined capital cost control will be key to unlocking further value.

As mentioned above, Morgans has a buy rating and $21.78 price target on the ASX stock. Based on its current share price of $16.49, this suggests that upside of 32% for investors between now and this time next year.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Two workers at an oil rig discuss operations.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Santos, Beach Energy or Woodside shares? Here's Macquarie's top pick

Macquarie has released its new share price expectations for Santos, Beach Energy and Woodside shares.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

person holding hat
Broker Notes

3 ASX 200 large-cap shares just re-rated by analysts

We reveal the latest views on an ASX 200 large-cap miner, retailer, and consumer staples leader.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Down 80% in 2025: Is it time to buy this beaten down ASX stock?

Let's see what Bell Potter is saying about this stock after its heavy decline.

Read more »

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Broker Notes

NextDC shares jump 11% on major OpenAI deal

This data centre operator will be home to the AI giant in Australia.

Read more »

A large clear wine glass on the left of the image filled with fifty dollar notes on a timber table with a wine cellar or cabinet with bottles in the background.
Broker Notes

Macquarie names 3 top dividend-paying ASX 200 shares to buy today

Macquarie expects these three dividend paying ASX 200 shares to outperform in 2026. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Confident male executive dressed in a dark blue suit leans against a doorway with his arms crossed in the corporate office
Broker Notes

Broker reveals ratings on 4 ASX 200 sector leaders

Prefer ASX 200 large-cap stocks? Here are some new ratings and price targets for four sector leaders.

Read more »

A young boy points and smiles as he eats fried chicken.
Broker Notes

Why brokers are bullish on this rapidly-growing ASX 200 share

This business is delivering tasty earnings growth…

Read more »