5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

Let's see what is expected on the local market today.

A male ASX 200 broker wearing a blue shirt and black tie holds one hand to his chin with the other arm crossed across his body as he watches stock prices on a digital screen while deep in thought

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On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week with a small decline. The benchmark index fell 0.2% to 8,505.5 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall again

The Australian share market looks set to fall on Monday following a relatively poor finish to last week on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 20 points or 0.25% lower. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 0.1%, but the S&P 500 was down 0.2% and the Nasdaq dropped 0.5%.

Oil prices mixed

It could be a soft start to the week for ASX 200 energy shares such as Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after a mixed session for oil prices on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 0.45% to US$73.84 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was down 2.3% to US$77.01 a barrel. Though, with the US launching an attack on Iran over the weekend, it is possible that oil prices could surge when markets reopen today.

Metcash FY 2025 results

Metcash Ltd (ASX: MTS) shares will be on watch today when the wholesale distributor releases its results for FY 2025. According to a note out of UBS, its analysts expect the company to deliver an underlying profit in line with its guidance range at approximately $275 million. Sales are expected to lift 6.4% year on year to approximately $19.4 billion. A full year dividend of 17 cents per share is also expected by the broker.

Gold price slips

ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a poor start to the week after the gold price fell on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was down 0.7% to US$3,385.70 an ounce. A stronger US dollar led to the precious metal recording a weekly decline.

Buy CSL shares

CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) shares are in the buy zone right now according to analysts at Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has reaffirmed its buy rating on the biotechnology company's shares with a trimmed price target of $305.00. It said: "CSL has been challenged by several external uncertainties of late (tariffs headlines, US regulatory changes, MFN). Nevertheless, we consider the double-digit earnings outlook remains intact (on a reported basis)."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in CSL and Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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