Is the ASX gold rush over? Fundie says 'period of consolidation' has begun

The gold price and ASX gold shares have retreated since the commodity's record high on 22 April.

A woman holds a gold bar in one hand and puts her other hand to her forehead with an apprehensive and concerned expression on her face after watching the Ramelius share price fall today

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX gold shares are in the green on Friday while the rest of the market struggles.

The S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index (ASX: XGD) is up 0.076% while the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 0.25%.

The gold price is currently $US3,351.60 per ounce, down 0.53% today and down 2.42% over the past week.

What's going on with ASX gold shares on Friday?

Here's how the six largest ASX gold shares are performing today:

Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) shares are down 0.2% to $20.34.

Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) shares are down 0.84% to $7.72.

Newmont Corporate CDI (ASX: NEM) shares are up 0.011% to $89.01.

Genesis Minerals Ltd (ASX: GMD) shares are up 0.89% to $4.55.

Perseus Mining Ltd (ASX: PRU) shares are down 0.28% to $3.55.

Capricorn Metals Ltd (ASX: CMM) shares are up 2.04% to $10.49.

The gold price has soared over the past 18 months due to its safe-haven appeal amid geopolitical tensions and global trade uncertainties.

Gold has reached new highs again and again over this period.

The gold price hit a record US$3,500.05 per ounce on 22 April.

Since then, it has retreated, and ASX gold shares have gone down with it.

Is the gold rush over? Expert tips 'period of ongoing consolidation' ahead

James Gerrish, a portfolio manager at Shaw and Partners, says his team is bullish on the gold price in the medium to long term.

In his latest Market Matters newsletter, Gerrish notes that the gold price recently rallied as the US dollar declined.

However, the gold price has traded beneath its record high for two months now.

And the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index (ASX: XGD) has fallen 6.75% since 22 April.

Over the same period, Northern Star shares have fallen 11.8% and Evolution Mining shares have dropped 13.1%.

Gerrish says "long gold" is a crowded trade right now.

Going long on gold means taking an investment position that benefits if the gold price rises.

Positions can include buying physical gold, gold futures, or ASX gold stocks.

Gerrish said ASX gold shares have been sold off "aggressively" and the gold rush appears to be paused or at least slowing down.

He commented:

… the aggressive nature of the recent sell-off in ASX gold stocks and the precious metals' inability to punch to fresh highs as the $US dollar falls suggests a period of ongoing consolidation is starting to unfold.

The Market Matters team is still expecting the gold price to reset its April high in the coming weeks or months.

However, the analysts predict the gold price will only rise by up to 4% from here.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

A mining executive from Red Dirt Metals chats on her mobile phone looking pleased with a mining site and mining truck in the background
Gold

Up 53% since August, guess which ASX 200 gold stock is lifting today on 'key milestone'

The ASX 200 gold miner announced a ‘key milestone’ for its new WA gold mine.

Read more »

A miner holds up a mineral find as other workers look on,
Gold

Northern Star shares shining bright on $225 million gold exploration news

Northern Star is spending big to unearth more gold. Here’s what’s happening.

Read more »

A few gold nullets sit on an old-fashioned gold scale, representing ASX gold shares.
Gold

Up 75% this year, are Northern Star shares still a buy today?

A leading expert provides his outlook for Northern Star shares.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Gold

This ASX 300 gold stock is rocketing 27% amid takeover bidding war

This gold miner has received a new takeover offer.

Read more »

Miner with thumbs up at mine
Gold

Why this underdog ASX gold stock is one to watch

From ugly duckling to billion-dollar company, and there's more to come.

Read more »

A woman wearing a top of gold coins and large gold hoop earrings and a heavy gold bracelet stands amid a shower of gold coins with her mouth open wide and an excited look on her face.
Gold

70% of institutional investors expect gold price to rise in 2026

The gold price has soared by 60% in 2025 and a poll shows strong confidence that it will go higher.

Read more »

A few gold nullets sit on an old-fashioned gold scale, representing ASX gold shares.
Gold

Analysts split on whether this gold stock will go up – or down – 40%

Analysts at Macquarie and Jarden have run the ruler over this gold miner's newest project and came away with very…

Read more »

Three rockets heading to space
Mergers & Acquisitions

Guess which 10-bagger ASX gold stock is surging 65% today on takeover news

Investors are piling into this ASX gold miner on Tuesday. Let’s see why.

Read more »