What does Macquarie think ResMed shares are worth?

Does the broker see value in this blue chip? Let's find out.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ResMed Inc (ASX: RMD) shares are lifting off again on Monday.

At the time of writing, the sleep disorder treatment company's shares are up almost 3% to $37.09.

This means that its shares are now up 11% since this time last week.

Investors have been bidding the company's shares higher after being impressed with last week's third quarter update.

But is it too late to invest? Well, let's see what analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) are saying about ResMed shares.

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.

Image source: Getty Images

Can ResMed shares keep rising?

The good news is that the team at Macquarie doesn't believe it is too late to invest in this blue chip.

According to a note, the broker has retained its outperform rating on the company's shares with a $48.00 price target.

Based on its current share price, this implies potential upside of almost 30% for investors over the next 12 months.

Commenting on the company's performance during the third quarter, the broker said:

Revenue was in-line with Visible Alpha consensus (VA), with softer-than-expected devices growth offsetting stronger masks trends. Compositionally, Americas devices was -1% vs VA with RoW in-line, while Americas masks were +2% ahead of expectations but partly offset by RoW (-1%). Management note sleep lab backlogs are "at all-time highs", however RMD's digital investments (NightOwl, VPAP Tx) are expected to support new patient flow (demand generation, GLP-1, consumer wearables).

Gross margin improvement: Gross margin expanded +140bps YoY and +70bp QoQ driven by manufacturing and logistics efficiencies, as well as favourable product mix. RMD expects 4Q margin to be consistent with 3Q (i.e. ~60%), in line with 59-60% guided range for 2H25E.

Why is it bullish?

Macquarie believes the company is well-placed for growth and sees potential for ResMed shares to re-rate to higher multiples following a recent multiple compression. It explains:

We expect tariff exemption, new products, margin expansion, cash flow and capital deployment to reverse recent multiple compression. RMD expect 4Q25 gross margin to be in line with 3Q25 implying FY25 gross margin of ~59.6%, with upside risk if the USD remains weak. We see positive demand catalyst (GLP-1, wearables) in the medium term and sustained margin expansion near term. Reiterate Outperform.

It then concludes:

Retain Outperform driven by solid EPS growth over the forecast period, favourable balance sheet position and valuation appeal. RMD remains our preferred sector exposure.

All in all, this could make it one of the best blue chips to buy right now.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and ResMed. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A woman studying share market stats on a computer while writing a report.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: SRG Global, Cochlear, NAB shares

As earnings season continues, Morgans has updated its ratings after scrutinising company reports.

Read more »

A young woman holds her hand to her ear and leans sideways as if to listen to something that's surprising her as her eyes and her mouth are wide open.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Car Group, Baby Bunting, Hub24 shares

We review three fresh buy, hold, and sell calls from expert market analysts. 

Read more »

Man working on his tablet with hologram of a world map and financial-related charts.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Premier Investments, Hansen Technologies, Santos shares

Experts reveal their ratings on 3 ASX shares in the retail, energy, and technology segments. 

Read more »

Happy female accountant looking at her tablet.
Broker Notes

7 ASX 200 shares with reaffirmed buy ratings this week

Brokers retained a positive view on Santos, Zip, Coles, and other shares this week. 

Read more »

Broker working with share prices on computers.
Broker Notes

10 ASX 200 shares downgraded by analysts this week

Brokers reduced their ratings on QBE, Temple & Webster, BHP, and other stocks this week. 

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

3 ASX stocks UBS rates as a buy after recent results

The broker is tipping these companies will continue to deliver.

Read more »

A wine technician in overalls holds a glass of red wine up to the light and studies it.
Broker Notes

Up 67%! Why the rebound in Treasury Wine shares may just be getting started

A leading analyst expects the big rebound in Treasury Wine shares is just the beginning.

Read more »

A graphic depicting a businessman in a business suit standing with his hand to his chin looking at a large red arrow pointing upwards above a line up of oil barrels againist the backdrop of a world map.
Broker Notes

Are Santos shares a buy following their half-year results?

Broker UBS has delivered its verdict on this oil and gas giant.

Read more »