Why I think the Telstra share price is a strong buy

I'm calling this stock a buy-and-hold opportunity.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price looks like an excellent opportunity, in my view. It could be one of the most appealing S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) blue-chip shares.

The telecommunications business recently released its FY25 half-year result for the six months to 31 December 2024. Investors liked the report, sending the Telstra share price up more than 5% on the day.

There were a number of positives within the result which made me believe the business still has a very promising outlook. I think Telstra can keep rising in the coming years for the following reasons.

A man holding a mobile phone walks past some buildings

Image source: Getty Images

Financial growth

The business reported ongoing growth in the first half of FY25, which is a key driver of the Telstra share price. Don't forget, it's profit that pays for the dividend too.

In HY25, Telstra grew its mobile handheld users by 2.5%, which was an increase of 119,000 in actual terms. This helped the business grow its total income by 0.9% to $11.8 billion, operating profit (EBITDA) increased by 6% to $4.2 billion, and net profit grew by 6.5% to $1 billion.

There was earnings growth across almost all of its products. Growth isn't guaranteed every reporting period, but this shows the business is going in the right direction.

Mobile operating profit rose 3.7% to $2.6 billion, thanks to growth in user numbers and average revenue per user (ARPU).

Fixed customer and small business (C&SB) operating profit rose 74.3% to $183 million, thanks to growth in ARPU and productivity.

Fixed enterprise operating profit grew 35.2% to $96 million, with growth following strong cost action.

International operating profit rose 8.4% to $373 million, thanks to growth in wholesale and enterprise and the release of the earn-out provision for Digicel Pacific.

The final positive was that the InfraCo fixed operating profit rose 7% to $892 million, with growth from ongoing infrastructure demand and operating leverage.

Strong returns for shareholders

Telstra has been paying pleasing dividends, and the dividend payment was hiked in the FY25 half-year result.

The ASX telco share's board of directors decided to hike the interim dividend per share by 5.6% to 9.5 cents per share. I was only expecting Telstra to pay a dividend per share of 9 cents in this result. At the current Telstra share price, that payment represents a grossed-up dividend yield of 3.3%, including franking credits. If it paid that dividend again in six months, the grossed-up dividend yield would be 6.6%.

Telstra also decided to announce a share buyback of up to $750 million, which can help increase the underlying value of each share and also help increase the potential for a higher dividend per Telstra share.

Leading network and continued investment

The business has continued to invest in its mobile network, and it has now expanded its coverage to more than 3 million square kilometres, reaching 99.7% of Australia's population. This is more than double that of Optus' network and three times that of the TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPG) (including Vodafone) network.

With how Telstra is planning to further improve its network, I think it will get ahead of its competitors. Its network advantage may well be the best reason to like the company for the foreseeable future. It said the following in the result announcement:

Over the next four years, we will increase our mobile network investment by $800 million to extend our leadership and deliver customers the most advanced, resilient and reliable 5G mobile network in the country. This will be delivered within business-as-usual capex by directing a larger portion of overall capex to our mobile network.

Through our partnership with Ericsson, the first-of-its-king for any operator across Asia-Pacific, we will upgrade our radio access network (RAN) with next-generation Open RAN-ready hardware solutions and 5G Advanced software, and implement AI and automation to optimise network management through self-detection and self-healing capabilities.

This will help us evolve our offering and improve the efficiency of how we use our spectrum so we can continue to build capacity on our 5G network to deliver better consistency of performance, reliability and speed to millions of customers. Our customers will start to notice improvements to their speeds and overall experience from later this calendar.

With that in mind, I think the future is bright for Telstra shares.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Communication Shares

A woman in her late 30s holds her hands out either side with the palms up as if indicating she doesn't know the answer to a question.
Communication Shares

Can TPG Telecom shares rebound from an all-time low?

The stock crashed late last year after it traded ex-dividend for a very large capital return to shareholders.

Read more »

A couple stares at the tv in shock, with the man holding the remote up ready to press a button.
Communication Shares

Why this beaten-down ASX media stock is rising today

A major rights deal has this ASX media stock moving higher.

Read more »

Hand holding Australian dollar (AUD) bills, symbolising ex dividend day. Passive income.
Communication Shares

If I invest $8,000 in Telstra shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

Telstra is now providing investors with pleasing dividend stability.

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, and holding a mobile phone in his other hand.
Communication Shares

Should I invest $5,000 in Telstra shares in July?

Telstra shares have slumped recently. Will they keep falling, or is an upside ahead?

Read more »

Two male ASX investors and executives wearing dark coloured suits sit at a table holding their mobile phones discussing the highest trading ASX 200 shares today
Communication Shares

Why Telstra shares could be a top ASX buy for the new financial year

The appeal is simple: essential services, network scale, and a dividend profile that has become easier to understand.

Read more »

A man wearing a colourful shirt holds an old fashioned phone to his ear with a look of curiosity on his face as though he is pondering the answer to a question.
Communication Shares

Here's what brokers tip for Telstra shares over the next 12 months

Have Telstra shares now reached fair value?

Read more »

Young woman using computer laptop smiling in love showing heart symbol and shape with hands. as she switches from a big telco to Aussie Broadband which is capturing more market share
Communication Shares

Should I buy Telstra shares for passive income?

And find out what brokers are tipping for the telco over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A happy man looks at his smart phone, indicating a share price rise for ASX tech shares
Communication Shares

5 years ago, $10,000 bought 2,801 Telstra shares. But how many would it buy now?

Telstra shareholders have seen very positive returns.

Read more »