5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

A better day of trade is expected for Aussie investors today.

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On Monday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) started the week with a small decline. The benchmark index fell 0.35% to 8,482.8 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to rebound

The Australian share market is expected to return to form on Tuesday following a strong start to the week in the United States. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is poised to open the day 34 points or 0.4% higher. In late trade on Wall Street, the Dow Jones is up 0.4%, the S&P 500 is up 0.8%, and the Nasdaq is 1.2% higher.

JB Hi-Fi shares downgraded

Bell Potter thinks that JB Hi-Fi Ltd (ASX: JBH) shares are fully valued right now. In response to its half year results release, the broker has downgraded the retail giant's shares to a hold rating with a slightly improved price target of $99.00. It said: "We continue to view JBH as one of the most productive retailers globally with a leading revenue per Sqm metric and an operating margin (JBH Aus) and well placed to grow from the AI upgrade cycle despite some near-term gross margin pressures. However, we think the current valuation (~23x FY25e P/E, BPe), considering a 12-month period sees near term outlook for limited earnings upgrades as priced in."

Oil prices rise

It could be a good session for ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX: KAR) on Tuesday after oil prices charged higher overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 1.7% to US$72.20 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 1.45% to US$75.75 a barrel. Traders appear to believe that oil prices have been oversold following recent weakness.

CSL results

All eyes will be on CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) shares when the biotechnology giant releases its eagerly anticipated half year results. Goldman Sachs is forecasting total revenue of US$8,663 million for the six months ended 31 December. In addition, the broker expects CSL to report an EBIT margin of 34.8%, half year underlying EBIT of US$3,017 million (+1.7% vs consensus), and NPATA of US$2,270 million (+2.2% vs consensus).

Gold price charges higher again

ASX 200 gold miners such as Bellevue Gold Ltd (ASX: BGL) and Regis Resources Limited (ASX: RRL) could have a great session on Tuesday after the gold price charged higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 1.6% to US$2,934.2 an ounce. Tariff concerns have driven the precious metal to a new record high.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in CSL. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL and Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL and Jb Hi-Fi. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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