Buy this ASX 200 gold share trading 'at a significant discount to peers'

While the gold price has come under pressure in recent weeks, most analysts agree that the precious metal will stay …

| More on:
A woman in a business suit sits at her desk with gold bars in each hand while she kisses one bar with her eyes closed. Her desk has another three gold bars stacked in front of her. symbolising the rising Northern Star share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

While the gold price has come under pressure in recent weeks, most analysts agree that the precious metal will stay at lofty levels for some time to come.

In light of this, it could be a good idea to have some exposure to gold in your portfolio.

But which ASX 200 gold share could be in the buy zone now? Let's take a look at one that Goldman Sachs is bullish on and is tipping as a buy.

Which ASX 200 gold share?

The gold miner that Goldman is bullish on is Gold Road Resources Ltd (ASX: GOR).

Its shares rocketed on Monday after De Grey Mining Limited (ASX: DEG) agreed to be acquired by Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) in a $5 billion deal.

Given that Gold Road owns a ~17% stake in De Grey Mining, it stands to benefit from this transaction and any potential competing offers.

In response to the news, Goldman said:

If the NST-DEG transaction completes (or attracts further competing proposals) we would see this as a positive for Gold Road Resources which own ~17.3% of DEG, with the implied acquisition price above our prior proportional NAV and potentially adding ~A$0.8bn to GOR's already net cash balance sheet (at current valuations should GOR sell their DEG stake or resulting NST shares where NST/DEG noted that GOR have historically been supportive of DEG, and that they are aware of the transaction with a decision to support the proposed acquisition up to GOR).

It also feels that this news could be the catalyst for a re-rating for the ASX 200 gold share, which it notes trades at a discount to peers. It said:

We note GOR also hold neighbouring leases to Hemi which may become attractive future development options at the project. Furthermore, with the possible sale of the DEG stake, we see potential support for GOR to re-rate on its own fundamentals, with the stock currently trading at a significant discount to peers at (~3.5x EV/EBITDA, ~1x NAV, and ~US$1,870/oz LT gold; peer average 5.7x/1.2x/~US$2,130/oz respectively), where closing half this gap would add >10-20% to valuation.

Time to buy

According to the note, the broker has retained its buy rating on the ASX 200 gold share with an improved price target of $2.35.

Based on its current share price of $2.04, this implies potential upside of over 15% for investors over the next 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.
Broker Notes

3 ASX All Ords shares tipped to rise 30% to 80% in 2026

Looking for New Year's investment inspiration?

Read more »

a business man in a suit holds his hand over his eyes as he bows his head in a defeated post suggesting regret and remorse.
Share Fallers

Why Core Lithium, Paladin Energy, Pro Medicus, and Rio Tinto shares are dropping today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Rocket takes off from the hand of a businessman.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 200 stocks rocketing higher in the first full trading week of 2026

Investors have been piling into these three ASX 200 stocks in 2026. But why?

Read more »

A young woman holding her phone smiles broadly and looks excited, after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Why Codan, DroneShield, Mesoblast, and Woodside shares are storming higher today

These shares are ending the week strongly. But why?

Read more »

A mature-aged woman wearing goggles and a red cape, rides her bike along the beach looking victorious.
Best Shares

These were my 2 best stocks of 2025

Both of these stocks bagged me triple-digit returns last year.

Read more »

Woman with gold nuggets on her hand.
Gold

Up 177% in a year, why is this ASX 300 gold stock leaping higher again on Friday?

Investors are piling into this high-flying ASX gold stock again today. But why?

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Rio Tinto shares sink 6% on Glencore merger bombshell

The market is reacting negatively to this potential mega-merger.

Read more »